Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.27
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 4.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
Alexander Zverev
Ranked no. 7, Alexander got to the semifinal after beating Kevin Anderson 7-62 5-7 6-3 7-5, Brandon Nakashima 7-5 6-78 6-3 6-1, Adrian Mannarino 6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-2 6-1 and Borna Coric 1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3.
In the quarter against Coric, Zverev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3). During the match Zverev scored 136 points vs Coric’s 132. Zverev was pretty aggressive to blast 76 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev fired 18 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 71% of his first serves in, winning 76% (76/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Coric 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zverev has surrendered 4 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (325-178). 11-6 on hard in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has a 130-72 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The German’s best result of the season was getting to the semi-finals at the Australian Open .
Alexander has a 11-6 win-loss record in 2020, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
Alexander lost in the 4th round to Diego Sebastian Schwartzman.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 27, Carreno-Busta reached the semifinal after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3, Mitchell Krueger 6-1 6-2 6-2, Richard Berankis 6-4 6-3 6-2, Novak Djokovic 6-5 def. and Denis Shapovalov 3-6 7-65 7-64 0-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Carreno-Busta had a tough win against Shapovalov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 7-65 7-64 0-6 6-3).-153) than Shapovalov. In fact, the world no. 7 won 153 points vs Shapovalov’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 8 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (69/102) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Shapovalov 5 times after converting 24% of his break points (5/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the semi-finals in Rotterdam.
Carreno-Busta has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2020, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
Pablo surrendered in the 3rd round to David Goffin.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 18 |
| Tot Games | 191 | 155 |
| Pts | 644-545 | 478-419 |
| Total Points | 1189 | 897 |
| Winners | 331 | 205 |
| %Winners | 51% | 43% |
Both Zverev and Carreno-Busta played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev conceded 4 sets, while Pablo Carreno-Busta dropper 4 sets. Zverev has played 1 set more than Carreno-Busta (19 vs 18). Therefore, Zverev played 36 games more than Carreno-Busta. The German scored 331 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 205 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 92 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 18.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st in | 412/598 | 285/422 |
| %1st in | 69% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 331/412 | 205/285 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 83/186 | 78/137 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 57% |
Zverev blasted 92 aces (18.4 per match). Carreno-Busta bagged 16 aces (3.2 per match). Zverev won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 23 |
| Converted | 26/42 | 23/66 |
| % Converted | 62% | 35% |
| Conceded | 40 | 34 |
| Saved | 31 | 20 |
| % Saved | 78% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 14 |
Alexander broke his opponents 26 times with a 62% conversion rate. The German dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 23 times with a 35% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||||||
| R1 Anderson |
R2 Nakashima |
R3 Mannarino |
R4 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 5-7 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-78 6-3 6-1 | 6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 6-1 | 1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 41 | 39 | 23 | 42 | 191 | |
| pts | 140-126 | 143-123 | 131-106 | 94-58 | 136-132 | 644-545 | |
| Total points | 266 | 266 | 237 | 152 | 268 | 1189 | |
| Winners | 78 | 81 | 58 | 38 | 76 | 331 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 57% | 44% | 40% | 56% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 18 | 24 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 92 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 41 | |
| 1st in | 91/135 | 97/129 | 73/116 | 51/77 | 100/141 | 412/598 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 75% | 63% | 66% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 78/91 | 81/97 | 58/73 | 38/51 | 76/100 | 331/412 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 84% | 79% | 75% | 76% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 11/32 | 22/43 | 13/26 | 17/41 | 83/186 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 34% | 51% | 50% | 41% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 26 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/10 | 7/9 | 8/11 | 3/8 | 26/42 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 78% | 73% | 38% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 40 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/5 | 6/8 | 6/7 | 11/15 | 31 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 75% | 86% | 73% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||||||
| R1 Uchiyama |
R2 Krueger |
R3 Berankis |
R4 Djokovic |
1/4 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 6-5 def. | 3-6 7-65 7-64 0-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 23 | 27 | 11 | 50 | 155 | |
| pts | 149-148 | 82-42 | 94-69 | – | 153-160 | 478-419 | |
| Total points | 297 | 124 | 163 | 0 | 313 | 897 | |
| Winners | 69 | 30 | 37 | 69 | 205 | ||
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 39% | NAN% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | ||
| 1st in | 96/149 | 36/52 | 51/77 | / | 102/144 | 285/422 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 66% | NAN% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 69/96 | 30/36 | 37/51 | / | 69/102 | 205/285 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 73% | NAN% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/53 | 14/16 | 15/26 | / | 23/42 | 78/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 88% | 58% | NAN% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | ||
| Converted | 4/16 | 7/11 | 7/18 | / | 5/21 | 23/66 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 64% | 39% | NAN% | 24% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 34 | ||
| Saved | 9/12 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 0/ | 8/16 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 50% | – | 50% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | ||
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWLWW
LLWLL Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-63 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Dominic ThiemThiem (1-2) – H2H and prediction
