H2H, PREDICTION Dominic Thiem vs Alex De Minaur | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Thiem and De Minaur will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Alex De Minaur

Dominic Thiem and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Thiem who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Dominic Thiem is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Thiem -> 1.26
Alex De Minaur -> 3.7

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Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 3rd time that Dominic Thiem and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Thiem won 6-4 6-1 6-1 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2017.

Dominic Thiem

Ranked no. 3 (career high), the Austrian reached the 1st round after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-66 6-3 ret., Sumit Nagal 6-3 6-3 6-2, Marin Cilic 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Felix Auger Aliassime 7-64 6-1 6-1.

In the 4th round, Dominic had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (7-64 6-1 6-1). During the match Thiem scored 100 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 68. The Austrian was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Thiem scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominic Thiem was quite effective on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dominic broke Auger-Aliassime 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Austrian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Thiem has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (412-206). 11-4 on hard in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thiem has a 114-76 record in the last years on hard.

The Austrian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open .

Dominic has a 13-5 win-loss record in 2020, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The Austrian surrendered in the 1st round to Thomas Fabbiano.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 28, De Minaur got to the 1st round after beating Andrej Martin 6-4 6-3 7-5, Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-3 6-76 7-5, Karen Khachanov 6-4 0-6 4-6 6-3 6-1 and Vasek Pospisil 7-66 6-3 6-2.

In the 4th round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Pospisil (7-66 6-3 6-2). During the match De Minaur scored 110 points vs Pospisil’s 85. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, De Minaur struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (40/50) of his 1st serve and 63% (22/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Pospisil 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Alex has a 6-4 win-loss record in 2020, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The Australian had to surrender in the 4th round to Grigor Dimitrov.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Thiem De Minaur
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 10 15
Tot Games 87 147
Pts 307-227 506-438
Total Points 534 944
Winners 128 201
%Winners 42% 40%

Thiem played 3 matches while De Minaur competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Thiem conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur dropper 3 sets. Thiem has played 5 set(s) less than De Minaur (10 vs 15). Therefore, Thiem played 60 games less than De Minaur. Dominic scored 128 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian made 201 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Thiem De Minaur
Aces 19 23
Avg per match 6.3 5.8
1st in 162/258 270/460
%1st in 63% 59%
1st pts 128/162 201/270
%1st pts 79% 74%
2nd pts 56/96 97/190
%2nd pts 58% 51%

Thiem scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). De Minaur scored 23 aces (5.8 per match). Thiem won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Thiem De Minaur
Won 18 22
Converted 18/39 22/40
% Converted 46% 55%
Conceded 19 29
Saved 15 18
% Saved 79% 62%
Times Broken 4 11

The Austrian broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Dominic lost his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. De Minaur broke his opponents 22 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Thiem
R1
Antoni Munar Clar
R2
Nagal
R3
Cilic
R4
Auger-Aliassime
Total
Score 7-66 6-3 ret. 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 4 3 13
Tot Games 22 26 34 27 109
pts 78-66 97-67 110-92 100-68 385-293
Total points 144 164 202 168 678
Winners 31 35 53 40 159
%Winners 40% 36% 48% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 9 7 9 3 28
Double Faults 2 1 2 2 7
1st in 43/68 47/74 61/104 54/80 205/326
% 1st in 63% 64% 59% 68% 63%
1st pts 31/43 35/47 53/61 40/54 159/205
% 1st pts 72% 74% 87% 74% 78%
2nd pts 15/25 18/27 20/43 18/26 71/121
% 2nd pts 60% 67% 47% 69% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 7 5 6 21
Converted 3/10 7/15 5/10 6/14 21/49
Converted % 30% 47% 50% 43% 43%
Conceded 7 8 8 3 26
Saved 5/7 6/8 7/8 2/3 20
Saved % 71% 75% 88% 67% 75%
Times Broken 2 2 1 1 6
De Minaur
R1
Martin
R2
Gasquet
R3
Khachanov
R4
Pospisil
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-76 7-5 6-4 0-6 4-6 6-3 6-1 7-66 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 4 5 3 15
Tot Games 31 44 42 30 147
pts 108-91 148-124 140-138 110-85 506-438
Total points 199 272 278 195 944
Winners 41 64 56 40 201
%Winners 38% 43% 40% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 11 8 2 23
Double Faults 4 8 6 2 20
1st in 59/97 80/137 81/141 50/85 270/460
% 1st in 61% 58% 57% 59% 59%
1st pts 41/59 64/80 56/81 40/50 201/270
% 1st pts 69% 80% 69% 80% 74%
2nd pts 21/38 27/57 27/60 22/35 97/190
% 2nd pts 55% 47% 45% 63% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 6 6 4 22
Converted 6/8 6/12 6/13 4/7 22/40
Converted % 75% 50% 46% 57% 55%
Conceded 8 9 10 2 29
Saved 6/8 6/9 5/10 1/2 18
Saved % 75% 67% 50% 50% 61%
Times Broken 2 3 5 1 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Thiem
LLWLWLLLWL
De Minaur
WWLWWWWLWW
2024 2023 2022
6 - 10
35 - 12
2-2
Hard
15-5
0-0
I Hard
4-1
4-7
Clay
10-5
0-1
Grass
6-1

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

  • Alexander ZverevZverevBorna CoricCoric (1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyChristopher Eubanks/Mackenzie McDonaldEubanks/Mackenzie McDonald (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw