H2H, PREDICTION Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Medvedev and Rublev will face off in the quarter of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Andrey Rublev

Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.27
Andrey Rublev -> 3.62

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in Cincinnati back in 2019.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Daniil Medvedev – Cincinnati 16-August-2019

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, Daniil reached the quarter after defeating Federico Delbonis 6-1 6-2 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-2 6-4, Jeff Wolf 6-3 6-3 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-1 6-0.

In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-4 6-1 6-0). During the match Medvedev scored 82 points vs Tiafoe’s 48. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev struck 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficent on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Daniil broke Tiafoe 8 times after converting 73% of his break points (8/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 68% of his matches (309-148). 13-3 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a 125-50 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Medvedev has a 14-5 win-loss record in 2020, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Daniil capitulated in the final to Rafael Nadal.

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 14 (career high), Rublev got to the quarter after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-4 6-4 6-3, Gregoire Barrere 6-2 6-4 7-64, Salvatore Caruso 6-0 6-4 6-0 and Matteo Berrettini 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round against Berrettini, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match Rublev scored 123 points vs Berrettini’s 104. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Talking about serving, Rublev fired 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 85% (58/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (24/49) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Berrettini 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrey has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Corentin Moutet in the final 6-2 7-6(3) and in Adelaide where he defeated Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-0.

The Russian has a 19-4 win-loss record in 2020, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Andrey capitulated in the 4th round to Matteo Berrettini.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Rublev
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 12 13
Tot Games 101 119
Pts 376-255 426-327
Total Points 631 753
Winners 132 178
%Winners 35% 42%

Both Medvedev and Rublev played 4 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev dropped 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (12 vs 13). Therefore, Medvedev played 18 games less than Rublev. Daniil scored 132 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 178 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Rublev
Aces 33 50
Avg per match 8.3 12.5
1st in 163/285 211/362
%1st in 57% 58%
1st pts 132/163 178/211
%1st pts 81% 84%
2nd pts 74/122 76/151
%2nd pts 61% 50%

Medvedev struck 33 aces (8.3 per match). Rublev recorded 50 aces (12.5 per match). Medvedev won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Rublev
Won 24 22
Converted 24/47 22/50
% Converted 51% 44%
Conceded 9 25
Saved 6 20
% Saved 67% 80%
Times Broken 3 5

The Russian broke his opponents 24 times with a 51% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Rublev broke his opponents 22 times with a 44% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Delbonis
R2
O
R3
Wolf
R4
Tiafoe
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 25 27 26 23 101
pts 92-58 104-81 98-68 82-48 376-255
Total points 150 185 166 130 631
Winners 37 41 32 22 132
%Winners 40% 39% 33% 27% 35%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 13 7 33
Double Faults 4 1 1 1 7
1st in 43/66 49/82 40/77 31/60 163/285
% 1st in 65% 60% 52% 52% 57%
1st pts 37/43 41/49 32/40 22/31 132/163
% 1st pts 86% 84% 80% 71% 81%
2nd pts 16/23 18/33 20/37 20/29 74/122
% 2nd pts 70% 55% 54% 69% 61%
Breaks
Won 5 4 7 8 24
Converted 5/9 4/17 7/10 8/11 24/47
Converted % 56% 24% 70% 73% 51%
Conceded 2 2 4 1 9
Saved 2/2 2/2 2/4 0/1 6
Saved % 100% 100% 50% 0% 63%
Times Broken 0 0 2 1 3
Rublev
R1
Chardy
R2
Barrere
R3
Caruso
R4
Berrettini
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 7-64 6-0 6-4 6-0 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 4 13
Tot Games 29 31 22 37 119
pts 116-99 103-78 84-46 123-104 426-327
Total points 215 181 130 227 753
Winners 40 47 33 58 178
%Winners 34% 46% 39% 47% 42%
SERVE
Aces 11 13 17 9 50
Double Faults 3 2 3 4 12
1st in 47/89 58/96 38/60 68/117 211/362
% 1st in 53% 60% 63% 58% 58%
1st pts 40/47 47/58 33/38 58/68 178/211
% 1st pts 85% 81% 87% 85% 84%
2nd pts 22/42 21/38 9/22 24/49 76/151
% 2nd pts 52% 55% 41% 49% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5 8 4 22
Converted 5/22 5/6 8/13 4/9 22/50
Converted % 23% 83% 62% 44% 44%
Conceded 8 7 2 8 25
Saved 7/8 5/7 1/2 7/8 20
Saved % 88% 71% 50% 88% 74%
Times Broken 1 2 1 1 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LWLLLWWWLW
Rublev
LLLWLLWWLW
2024 2023 2022
46 - 21
43 - 26
28-9
Hard
26-11
1-5
I Hard
6-7
11-5
Clay
11-6
6-2
Grass
0-2

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

  • Alexander ZverevZverevBorna CoricCoric (1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyChristopher Eubanks/Mackenzie McDonaldEubanks/Mackenzie McDonald (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings

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