Naomi Osaka and Shelby Rogers will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.24
Shelby Rogers -> 3.88
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Shelby Rogers
This will be the 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Shelby Rogers face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Rogers (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rogers won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in the 1100034285 back in 1970.
Naomi Osaka
Ranked no. 9, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after defeating Misaki Doi 6-2 5-7 6-2, Camila Giorgi 6-1 6-2, Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-74 6-2 and Anett Kontaveit 6-3 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kontaveit (6-3 6-4). During the match Osaka scored 69 points vs Kontaveit’s 52. Osaka was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Osaka managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka was pretty efficent on serve to win 84% (27/32) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Kontaveit 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Naomi has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Osaka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (204-113). 13-2 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Osaka has a 138-69 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Osaka’s best result of the season was getting to the final in New York.
The Japanese has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2020, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
The Japanese lost in the 4th round to Belinda Bencic.
Shelby Rogers
Ranked no. 93, Rogers reached the 2nd round after defeating Irina Khromacheva 6-2 6-2, Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-1, Madison Brengle 6-2 6-4 and Petra Kvitova 7-65 3-6 7-66.
In the 4th round, Shelby defeated Kvitova (7-65 3-6 7-66).-109) than Kvitova. In fact, the world no. 9 won 109 points vs Kvitova’s. That means that Rogers was more focused during the important points. Rogers was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Rogers struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Rogers put 72% of her first serves in, winning 65% (60/92) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Shelby broke Kvitova twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rogers has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Shelby has a 19-7 win-loss record in 2020, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
Shelby lost in the qualifications to Caroline Dolehide.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 92 | 88 |
| Pts | 343-270 | 302-247 |
| Total Points | 613 | 549 |
| Winners | 128 | 141 |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% |
Both Osaka and Rogers played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka conceded 2 sets, while Shelby Rogers dropper 1 set. Osaka has played 1 set more than Rogers (10 vs 9). Therefore, Osaka played 4 games more than Rogers. Osaka scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rogers blasted 141 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 160/282 | 201/288 |
| %1st in | 57% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 128/160 | 141/201 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 66/122 | 47/87 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Osaka made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rogers bagged 19 aces (4.8 per match). Osaka won 80% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 15 |
| Converted | 17/50 | 15/28 |
| % Converted | 34% | 54% |
| Conceded | 18 | 24 |
| Saved | 15 | 17 |
| % Saved | 83% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
The Japanese broke her opponents 17 times with a 34% conversion rate. Osaka surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Rogers conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | ||||||
| R1 Doi | R2 Giorgi | R3 Kostyuk | R4 Kontaveit | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-74 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 15 | 30 | 19 | 92 | |
| pts | 96-80 | 62-40 | 116-98 | 69-52 | 343-270 | |
| Total points | 176 | 102 | 214 | 121 | 613 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 40 | 27 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% | 34% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 46/91 | 33/52 | 49/94 | 32/45 | 160/282 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 52% | 71% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 26/33 | 40/49 | 27/32 | 128/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 82% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/45 | 10/19 | 23/45 | 9/13 | 66/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 51% | 69% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/7 | 5/21 | 3/11 | 17/50 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 57% | 24% | 27% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/2 | 7/8 | 0/0 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | – | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Rogers | ||||||
| R1 Khromacheva | R2 Rybakina | R3 Brengle | R4 Kvitova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-65 3-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 18 | 35 | 88 | |
| pts | 58-28 | 73-53 | 62-45 | 109-121 | 302-247 | |
| Total points | 86 | 126 | 107 | 230 | 549 | |
| Winners | 24 | 32 | 25 | 60 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 40% | 55% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/41 | 45/65 | 36/54 | 92/128 | 201/288 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 67% | 72% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 32/45 | 25/36 | 60/92 | 141/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 71% | 69% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 12/20 | 9/18 | 16/36 | 47/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 60% | 50% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 5/9 | 2/5 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 56% | 40% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 10/14 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 67% | 71% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open
- Alessandro BegaBega – Johannes HaerteisHaerteis (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Sofia KeninKenin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Shelby RogersRogers (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tsvetana PironkovaPironkova – Serena WilliamsWilliams (0-4) – H2H and prediction