H2H, PREDICTION Matteo Berrettini vs Andrey Rublev | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Berrettini and Rublev will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Andrey Rublev

Matteo Berrettini and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.8
Andrey Rublev -> 1.97

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 5th time that Matteo Berrettini and Andrey Rublev clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 8 (career high), Matteo reached the 4th round after beating Go Soeda 7-65 6-1 6-4, Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4 7-66 and Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-4 6-4 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 97 points vs Ruud’s 77. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Berrettini made 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was extremely efficent on serve to win 85% (45/53) of his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Ruud 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matteo hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (207-112). 5-2 on hard in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has a 95-46 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Italian has a 5-2 win-loss record in 2020, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 14 (career high), the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-4 6-4 6-3, Gregoire Barrere 6-2 6-4 7-64 and Salvatore Caruso 6-0 6-4 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Caruso (6-0 6-4 6-0). During the match Rublev scored 84 points vs Caruso’s 46. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Rublev managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Caruso 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was managing to win the title in Doha where he defeated Corentin Moutet in the final 6-2 7-6(3) and in Adelaide where he defeated Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-0.

The Russian has a 18-4 win-loss record in 2020, 16-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Rublev
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 9 9
Tot Games 91 82
Pts 302-225 303-223
Total Points 527 526
Winners 143 120
%Winners 47% 40%

Both Berrettini and Rublev played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Rublev have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Berrettini played 9 games more than Rublev. Matteo scored 143 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 120 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Rublev
Aces 48 41
Avg per match 16 13.7
1st in 162/253 143/245
%1st in 64% 58%
1st pts 143/162 120/143
%1st pts 88% 84%
2nd pts 57/91 52/102
%2nd pts 63% 51%

Berrettini made 48 aces (16 per match). Rublev blasted 41 aces (13.7 per match). Berrettini won 88% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Rublev
Won 9 18
Converted 9/21 18/41
% Converted 43% 44%
Conceded 10 17
Saved 10 13
% Saved 100% 76%
Times Broken 0 4

Matteo broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Matteo very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 10 break points. Rublev broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
R1
Soeda
R2
Humbert
R3
Ruud
Total
Score 7-65 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-66 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 30 33 28 91
pts 99-67 106-81 97-77 302-225
Total points 166 187 174 527
Winners 47 51 45 143
%Winners 47% 48% 46% 47%
SERVE
Aces 18 17 13 48
Double Faults 0 1 4 5
1st in 50/78 59/87 53/88 162/253
% 1st in 64% 68% 60% 64%
1st pts 47/50 51/59 45/53 143/162
% 1st pts 94% 86% 85% 88%
2nd pts 19/28 19/28 19/35 57/91
% 2nd pts 68% 68% 54% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 2 4 9
Converted 3/5 2/6 4/10 9/21
Converted % 60% 33% 40% 43%
Conceded 4 1 5 10
Saved 4/4 1/1 5/5 10
Saved % 100% 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0
Rublev
R1
Chardy
R2
Barrere
R3
Caruso
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 7-64 6-0 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 29 31 22 82
pts 116-99 103-78 84-46 303-223
Total points 215 181 130 526
Winners 40 47 33 120
%Winners 34% 46% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 11 13 17 41
Double Faults 3 2 3 8
1st in 47/89 58/96 38/60 143/245
% 1st in 53% 60% 63% 58%
1st pts 40/47 47/58 33/38 120/143
% 1st pts 85% 81% 87% 84%
2nd pts 22/42 21/38 9/22 52/102
% 2nd pts 52% 55% 41% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 5 8 18
Converted 5/22 5/6 8/13 18/41
Converted % 23% 83% 62% 44%
Conceded 8 7 2 17
Saved 7/8 5/7 1/2 13
Saved % 88% 71% 50% 70%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Berrettini
WWLLWWLWLW
Rublev
LLLWLLWWLW
2024 2023 2022
31 - 13
43 - 26
7-6
Hard
26-11
3-3
I Hard
6-7
15-1
Clay
11-6
6-3
Grass
0-2

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw