H2H, PREDICTION Sofia Kenin vs Elise Mertens | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Kenin and Mertens will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Sofia Kenin vs. Elise Mertens

Sofia Kenin and Elise Mertens will play each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.88
Sofia Kenin -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Sofia Kenin vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 3rd time that Sofia Kenin and Elise Mertens clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Kenin won 1-6 6-1 6-3 in the quarter in Mallorca back in 2019.

Sofia Kenin

Ranked no. 4 (career high), Sofia reached the quarter after beating Yanina Wickmayer 6-2 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 7-64 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Kenin had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (7-64 6-3). During the match Kenin scored 88 points vs Jabeur’s 74. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kenin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Sofia Kenin was exceptionally efficent on serve to win 73% (37/51) of her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Sofia broke Jabeur 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kenin hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Kenin has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (220-123). 12-5 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kenin has a 134-66 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in at the Australian Open where she defeated Garbine Muguruza in the final 4-6 6-2 6-2 and in Lyon where she overcame Anna-Lena Friedsam in the final 6-2 4-6 6-4.

Sofia has a 18-6 win-loss record in 2020, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 18, Mertens got to the quarter after beating Laura Siegemund 6-2 6-2, Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-3 7-5 and Caty McNally 7-5 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against McNally (7-5 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 68 points vs McNally’s 43. Elise was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Mertens bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 55% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke McNally 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Mertens’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Prague.

The Belgian has a 22-8 win-loss record in 2020, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kenin Mertens
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 57 56
Pts 218-171 215-162
Total Points 389 377
Winners 99 80
%Winners 45% 37%

Both Kenin and Mertens played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kenin and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Kenin played 1 game more than Mertens. The American scored 99 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Elise struck 80 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kenin Mertens
Aces 8 8
Avg per match 2.7 2.7
1st in 136/186 114/186
%1st in 73% 61%
1st pts 99/136 80/114
%1st pts 73% 70%
2nd pts 28/50 36/72
%2nd pts 56% 50%

Kenin blasted 8 aces (2.7 per match). Mertens struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Kenin won 73% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kenin Mertens
Won 10 15
Converted 10/16 15/24
% Converted 63% 63%
Conceded 10 17
Saved 8 13
% Saved 80% 76%
Times Broken 2 4

Sofia broke her opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded.

Kenin
R1
Wickmayer
R2
Annie
R3
Jabeur
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-4 6-3 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 19 22 57
pts 62-46 68-51 88-74 218-171
Total points 108 119 162 389
Winners 33 29 37 99
%Winners 53% 43% 42% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 0 8
Double Faults 1 3 5 9
1st in 47/59 38/49 51/78 136/186
% 1st in 80% 78% 65% 73%
1st pts 33/47 29/38 37/51 99/136
% 1st pts 70% 76% 73% 73%
2nd pts 7/12 7/11 14/27 28/50
% 2nd pts 58% 64% 52% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 3 3 10
Converted 4/4 3/5 3/7 10/16
Converted % 100% 60% 43% 63%
Conceded 5 0 5 10
Saved 5/5 0/0 3/5 8
Saved % 100% 60% 53%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2
Mertens
R1
Siegemund
R2
Sorribes Tormo
R3
McNally
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-3 7-5 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 21 19 56
pts 65-49 82-70 68-43 215-162
Total points 114 152 111 377
Winners 30 26 24 80
%Winners 46% 32% 35% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 2 8
Double Faults 2 0 4 6
1st in 43/71 42/62 29/53 114/186
% 1st in 61% 68% 55% 61%
1st pts 30/43 26/42 24/29 80/114
% 1st pts 70% 62% 83% 70%
2nd pts 14/28 10/20 12/24 36/72
% 2nd pts 50% 50% 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 6 5 15
Converted 4/4 6/14 5/6 15/24
Converted % 100% 43% 83% 63%
Conceded 9 5 3 17
Saved 9/9 2/5 2/3 13
Saved % 100% 40% 67% 69%
Times Broken 0 3 1 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Kenin
LLLLWLWWLL
Mertens
LLWLWLWLLW
2024 2023 2022
7 - 18
19 - 18
1-9
Hard
9-8
0-0
I Hard
1-1
5-6
Clay
6-5
1-3
Grass
3-4

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

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