H2H, PREDICTION Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Medvedev and Tiafoe will face off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe

Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.076
Frances Tiafoe -> 7.4

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2019.

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Federico Delbonis 6-1 6-2 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-2 6-4 and Jeff Wolf 6-3 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Wolf (6-3 6-3 6-2). During the match Medvedev scored 98 points vs Wolf’s 68. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev recorded 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was quite efficent on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Wolf 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 68% of his matches (308-148). 12-3 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a 124-50 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Russian has a 13-5 win-loss record in 2020, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 82, Francis got to the 3rd round after defeating Andreas Seppi 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-5, John Millman 7-66 3-6 1-6 6-3 6-3 and Marton Fucsovics 6-2 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-2 6-3 6-2). During the match Tiafoe scored 90 points vs Fucsovics’s 56. Francis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was quite effective on serve to win 83% (39/47) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tiafoe broke Fucsovics 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francis has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The American has a 9-9 win-loss record in 2020, 7-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Tiafoe
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 9 12
Tot Games 78 113
Pts 294-207 386-347
Total Points 501 733
Winners 110 171
%Winners 37% 44%

Both Medvedev and Tiafoe played 3 matches. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe lost 3 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Tiafoe (9 vs 12). Therefore, Medvedev played 35 games less than Tiafoe. The Russian scored 110 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 171 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Tiafoe
Aces 26 28
Avg per match 8.7 9.3
1st in 132/225 234/388
%1st in 59% 60%
1st pts 110/132 171/234
%1st pts 83% 73%
2nd pts 54/93 81/154
%2nd pts 58% 53%

Medvedev managed to score 26 aces (8.7 per match). Tiafoe made 28 aces (9.3 per match). Medvedev won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Tiafoe
Won 16 15
Converted 16/36 15/34
% Converted 44% 44%
Conceded 8 38
Saved 6 29
% Saved 75% 76%
Times Broken 2 9

Daniil broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Tiafoe broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Francis conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Delbonis
R2
O
R3
Wolf
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 25 27 26 78
pts 92-58 104-81 98-68 294-207
Total points 150 185 166 501
Winners 37 41 32 110
%Winners 40% 39% 33% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 13 26
Double Faults 4 1 1 6
1st in 43/66 49/82 40/77 132/225
% 1st in 65% 60% 52% 59%
1st pts 37/43 41/49 32/40 110/132
% 1st pts 86% 84% 80% 83%
2nd pts 16/23 18/33 20/37 54/93
% 2nd pts 70% 55% 54% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 4 7 16
Converted 5/9 4/17 7/10 16/36
Converted % 56% 24% 70% 44%
Conceded 2 2 4 8
Saved 2/2 2/2 2/4 6
Saved % 100% 100% 50% 83%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2
Tiafoe
R1
Seppi
R2
Millman
R3
Fucsovics
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-5 7-66 3-6 1-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 4 5 3 12
Tot Games 41 47 25 113
pts 138-122 158-169 90-56 386-347
Total points 260 327 146 733
Winners 64 68 39 171
%Winners 46% 43% 43% 44%
SERVE
Aces 12 12 4 28
Double Faults 5 6 1 12
1st in 80/135 107/172 47/81 234/388
% 1st in 59% 62% 58% 60%
1st pts 64/80 68/107 39/47 171/234
% 1st pts 80% 64% 83% 73%
2nd pts 30/55 33/65 18/34 81/154
% 2nd pts 55% 51% 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 6 6 15
Converted 3/10 6/15 6/9 15/34
Converted % 30% 40% 67% 44%
Conceded 9 23 6 38
Saved 8/9 16/23 5/6 29
Saved % 89% 70% 83% 81%
Times Broken 1 7 1 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LWLLLWWWLW
Tiafoe
LLWLWLWLLW
2024 2023 2022
46 - 21
33 - 27
28-9
Hard
21-13
1-5
I Hard
4-5
11-5
Clay
5-6
6-2
Grass
3-3

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw