Serena Williams and Maria Sakkari will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Serena Williams who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Serena Williams is the pick to win this match.
Serena Williams -> 1.48
Maria Sakkari -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Serena Williams vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 2nd time that Serena Williams and Maria Sakkari fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
Serena Williams
Ranked no. 8, the American got to the 4th round after defeating Kristie Ahn 7-5 6-3, Margarita Gasparyan 6-2 6-4 and Sloane Stephens 2-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Stephens, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Williams scored 81 points vs Stephens’s 72. The American was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Williams blasted 12 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Serena Williams lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Williams put 60% of her first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (13/33) on the 2nd serve. Williams broke Stephens 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Serena has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Williams has a a solid record in the last 10 years having won 89% of her matches (371-48). 13-3 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Williams has a 217-32 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-4.
Serena has a 14-4 win-loss record in 2020, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Maria Sakkari
Ranked no. 22, the Greek reached the 4th round after beating Stefanie Voegele 6-3 3-6 7-5, Bernarda Pera 2-6 6-3 6-2 and Amanda Anisimova 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Anisimova (6-3 6-1). During the match Sakkari scored 58 points vs Anisimova’s 34. Sakkari was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Maria Sakkari was very effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sakkari broke Anisimova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Sakkari’s best result of the year was reaching the semi-finals in St. Petersburg.
Sakkari has a 15-8 win-loss record in 2020, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Williams | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 71 |
| Pts | 223-183 | 239-199 |
| Total Points | 406 | 438 |
| Winners | 93 | 99 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Williams and Sakkari played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Serena Williams conceded 1 set, while Maria Sakkari dropper 2 sets. Williams has played 1 set(s) less than Sakkari (7 vs 8). Therefore, Williams played 8 games less than Sakkari. Williams scored 93 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Maria fired 99 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Williams | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 10.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 123/205 | 137/221 |
| %1st in | 60% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 93/123 | 99/137 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 34/82 | 46/84 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 55% |
Williams made 32 aces (10.7 per match). Sakkari recorded 17 aces (5.7 per match). Williams won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Williams | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/28 | 12/19 |
| % Converted | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded | 14 | 19 |
| Saved | 7 | 13 |
| % Saved | 50% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Williams broke her opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Williams lost her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Sakkari broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Williams | |||||
| R1 Ahn |
R2 Gasparyan |
R3 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 2-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 24 | 63 | |
| pts | 70-53 | 72-58 | 81-72 | 223-183 | |
| Total points | 123 | 130 | 153 | 406 | |
| Winners | 33 | 21 | 39 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 29% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 39/63 | 34/59 | 50/83 | 123/205 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 58% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 21/34 | 39/50 | 93/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 62% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 12/25 | 13/33 | 34/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 48% | 39% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/12 | 4/10 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 60% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Sakkari | |||||
| R1 Voegele |
R2 Pera |
R3 Anisimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 25 | 16 | 71 | |
| pts | 97-87 | 84-78 | 58-34 | 239-199 | |
| Total points | 184 | 162 | 92 | 438 | |
| Winners | 41 | 38 | 20 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 34% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 8 | 2 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 60/93 | 51/87 | 26/41 | 137/221 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 41/60 | 38/51 | 20/26 | 99/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 75% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 17/36 | 10/15 | 46/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 67% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/6 | 5/8 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 | 1 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 8/10 | 0/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 80% | 0% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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