Novak Djokovic and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.037
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 10
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
Novak Djokovic
Currently world no. 1 Novak got to the 4th round after beating Damir Dzumhur 6-1 6-4 6-1, Kyle Edmund 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-3 6-3 6-1). During the match Djokovic scored 93 points vs Struff’s 64. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 80% (41/51) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Serbian broke Struff 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak has conceded 1 set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a a good record in the last 10 years having won 88% of his matches (613-84). 26-0 on hard in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a 343-39 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in ATP Cup where he beat Rafael Nadal in the final 6-2 7-6(4) and in at the Australian Open where he defeated Dominic Thiem in the final 6-4 4-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in New York where he defeated Milos Raonic in the final 1-6 6-3 6-4.
Novak has a 26-0 win-loss record in 2020, 26-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 27, Pablo reached the 4th round after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3, Mitchell Krueger 6-1 6-2 6-2 and Richard Berankis 6-4 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-4 6-3 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 94 points vs Berankis’s 69. Carreno-Busta was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta blasted 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (37/51) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Carreno-Busta broke Berankis 7 times after converting 39% of his break points (7/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carreno-Busta has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was reaching the semi-finals in Rotterdam.
Pablo has a 10-6 win-loss record in 2020, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 89 | 94 |
| Pts | 338-243 | 325-259 |
| Total Points | 581 | 584 |
| Winners | 137 | 136 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Djokovic and Carreno-Busta played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta dropper 2 sets. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (10 vs 11). Therefore, Djokovic played 5 games less than Carreno-Busta. The Serbian scored 137 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo fired 136 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 172/271 | 183/278 |
| %1st in | 63% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 137/172 | 136/183 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 56/99 | 55/95 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 58% |
Djokovic blasted 25 aces (8.3 per match). Carreno-Busta fired 11 aces (3.7 per match). Djokovic won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 18 |
| Converted | 18/42 | 18/45 |
| % Converted | 43% | 40% |
| Conceded | 16 | 18 |
| Saved | 13 | 12 |
| % Saved | 81% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 18 times with a 43% conversion rate. Djokovic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 18 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R1 Dzumhur |
R2 Edmund |
R3 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 6-1 | 6-75 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 40 | 25 | 89 | |
| pts | 105-72 | 140-107 | 93-64 | 338-243 | |
| Total points | 177 | 247 | 157 | 581 | |
| Winners | 36 | 60 | 41 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 16 | 4 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 72/108 | 51/81 | 172/271 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/49 | 60/72 | 41/51 | 137/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 83% | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 21/36 | 17/30 | 56/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 58% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/19 | 6/12 | 5/11 | 18/42 | |
| Converted % | 37% | 50% | 45% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 4/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||||
| R1 Uchiyama |
R2 Krueger |
R3 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 23 | 27 | 94 | |
| pts | 149-148 | 82-42 | 94-69 | 325-259 | |
| Total points | 297 | 124 | 163 | 584 | |
| Winners | 69 | 30 | 37 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 96/149 | 36/52 | 51/77 | 183/278 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 69/96 | 30/36 | 37/51 | 136/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/53 | 14/16 | 15/26 | 55/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 88% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 7/11 | 7/18 | 18/45 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 64% | 39% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWWW
Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-5 2-6 4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jeff WolfWolf (6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-1 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-2 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 0-6 4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (6-0 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (7-5 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-72 6-4 4-6 7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-1 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Richard BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (3-6 6-3 4-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-62 4-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Marin CilicCilic (6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vasek PospisilPospisil – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Jordan ThompsonThompson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Andrey RublevRublev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-0) – H2H and prediction
