Serena Williams and Sloane Stephens will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Serena Williams who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Serena Williams is the pick to win this match.
Serena Williams -> 1.3
Sloane Stephens -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Serena Williams vs. Sloane Stephens

This will be the 7th time that Serena Williams and Sloane Stephens square off. The head to head is 5-1 for Williams (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Williams won 6-4 6-0 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2015.

Serena Williams

Ranked no. 8, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Kristie Ahn 7-5 6-3 and Margarita Gasparyan 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Williams had a good straight sets win against Gasparyan (6-2 6-4). During the match Williams scored 72 points vs Gasparyan’s 58. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Williams managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Serena Williams lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Williams put 58% of her first serves in, winning 62% (21/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Gasparyan 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Serena hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.

Williams has a a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 89% of her matches (370-48). 12-3 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Williams has a 216-32 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was managing to win the title in Auckland where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-4.

Williams has a 13-4 win-loss record in 2020, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The American lost in the Pre-q to .

Sloane Stephens

Ranked no. 39, Stephens reached the 2nd round after beating Mihaela Buzarnescu 6-3 6-3 and Olga Govortsova 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Govortsova (6-2 6-2). During the match Stephens scored 61 points vs Govortsova’s 42. Stephens was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Stephens blasted 4 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sloane Stephens lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 73% of her first serves in, winning 63% (27/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the 2nd serve. Sloane broke Govortsova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stephens hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The American has a 3-7 win-loss record in 2020, 3-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Sloane lost in the Pre-q to .

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Williams Stephens
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 39 34
Pts 142-111 129-93
Total Points 253 222
Winners 54 57
%Winners 38% 44%

Both Williams and Stephens played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Williams and Stephens have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Williams played 5 games more than Stephens. Serena scored 54 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Stephens struck 57 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Williams Stephens
Aces 20 6
Avg per match 10 3
1st in 73/122 86/117
%1st in 60% 74%
1st pts 54/73 57/86
%1st pts 74% 66%
2nd pts 21/49 17/31
%2nd pts 43% 55%

Williams made 20 aces (10 per match). Stephens scored 6 aces (3 per match). Williams won 74% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Williams Stephens
Won 10 10
Converted 10/18 10/17
% Converted 56% 59%
Conceded 9 11
Saved 4 8
% Saved 44% 73%
Times Broken 5 3

The American broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Williams conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Stephens broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Williams
R1
Ahn
R2
Gasparyan
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 18 39
pts 70-53 72-58 142-111
Total points 123 130 253
Winners 33 21 54
%Winners 47% 29% 38%
SERVE
Aces 13 7 20
Double Faults 3 5 8
1st in 39/63 34/59 73/122
% 1st in 62% 58% 60%
1st pts 33/39 21/34 54/73
% 1st pts 85% 62% 74%
2nd pts 9/24 12/25 21/49
% 2nd pts 38% 48% 43%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/6 6/12 10/18
Converted % 67% 50% 56%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 1/3 3/6 4
Saved % 33% 50% 42%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Stephens
R1
Buzarnescu
R2
Govortsova
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 16 34
pts 68-51 61-42 129-93
Total points 119 103 222
Winners 30 27 57
%Winners 44% 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 43/58 43/59 86/117
% 1st in 74% 73% 74%
1st pts 30/43 27/43 57/86
% 1st pts 70% 63% 66%
2nd pts 7/15 10/16 17/31
% 2nd pts 47% 63% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/10 5/7 10/17
Converted % 50% 71% 59%
Conceded 5 6 11
Saved 3/5 5/6 8
Saved % 60% 83% 72%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw