Naomi Osaka and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.172
Marta Kostyuk -> 4.75
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Marta Kostyuk
There is no head to head record between Naomi Osaka and Marta Kostyuk since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Naomi Osaka
Ranked no. 9, Osaka got to the 3rd round after beating Misaki Doi 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Camila Giorgi 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-1 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 62 points vs Giorgi’s 40. Osaka was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Osaka struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Naomi broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Naomi has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Osaka has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (202-113). 11-2 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a 136-69 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Naomi’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in New York.
Osaka has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2020, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
The Japanese lost in the Pre-q to .
Marta Kostyuk
Ranked no. 137, Kostyuk reached the 3rd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-2 and Anastasija Sevastova 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Sevastova (6-3 7-65). During the match Kostyuk scored 80 points vs Sevastova’s 61. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Kostyuk bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Marta Kostyuk was very effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Sevastova once after converting 11% of her break points (1/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has a 15-6 win-loss record in 2020, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
Kostyuk didn’t play at the U.S. Open in 2019.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 37 |
| Pts | 158-120 | 140-94 |
| Total Points | 278 | 234 |
| Winners | 61 | 56 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Osaka and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka conceded 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t dropped a set so far. Osaka has played 1 set more than Kostyuk (5 vs 4). Therefore, Osaka played 6 games more than Kostyuk. Naomi scored 61 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk blasted 56 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 79/143 | 71/112 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 61/79 | 56/71 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 34/64 | 24/41 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 59% |
Osaka recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Kostyuk blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Osaka won 77% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Saved | 8 | 4 |
| % Saved | 80% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Osaka broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Osaka lost her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | ||||
| R1 Doi |
R2 Giorgi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 15 | 43 | |
| pts | 96-80 | 62-40 | 158-120 | |
| Total points | 176 | 102 | 278 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/91 | 33/52 | 79/143 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 26/33 | 61/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/45 | 10/19 | 34/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/7 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Kasatkina |
R2 Sevastova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 60-33 | 80-61 | 140-94 | |
| Total points | 93 | 141 | 234 | |
| Winners | 25 | 31 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 37/61 | 71/112 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 31/37 | 56/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 17/24 | 24/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 71% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 1/9 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 11% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWLWLWW
WLLLWLLLWW Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Aliona BolsovaBolsova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Katrina ScottScott (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Kaia KanepiKanepi (7-68 6-0) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Tsvetana PironkovaPironkova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Margarita GasparyanGasparyan (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Johanna KontaKonta (2-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Olga GovortsovaGovortsova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alize CornetCornet – Ysaline BonaventureBonaventure (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kirsten FlipkensFlipkens (7-61 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Kateryna BondarenkoBondarenko (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-1 6-72 7-64) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Kateryna KozlovaKozlova (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Vera LapkoLapko (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (1-6 7-62 6-0) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Alison RiskeRiske (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Catherine Cartan BellisCartan Bellis (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Johannes HaerteisHaerteis – Filip VegerVeger (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Aliona BolsovaBolsova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Alize CornetCornet – Ysaline BonaventureBonaventure (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Olga GovortsovaGovortsova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Margarita GasparyanGasparyan (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sachia VickeryVickery – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Jennifer BradyBrady (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Ann LiLi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Petra MarticMartic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Madison BrengleBrengle (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Alize CornetCornet (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Tsvetana PironkovaPironkova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Serena WilliamsWilliams (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Sofia KeninKenin (1-4) – H2H and prediction
