Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will square off in the semifinal of the Trieste Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11.30 am on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.86
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranked no. 280 (career high), Lorenzo got to the semifinal after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-2, Alexei Popyrin 7-5 6-3 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-1 6-3.
In the quarter, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Pablo Ficovich (6-1 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 58 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 32. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti bagged 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Pablo Ficovich 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Musetti has a weak win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 39% of his matches (70-45). 4-1 on clay in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has a 61-39 win-loss record in the last 3 years on clay.
Musetti has a 13-8 win-loss record in 2020, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Trieste Challenger
Musetti didn’t compete in the Trieste Challenger in 2019.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Ranked no. 310 (career high), the Spaniard reached the semifinal after defeating Giacomo Dambrosi 6-2 3-6 6-3, Tobias Kamke 6-3 6-3, Mathias Bourgue 6-3 6-3, Matteo Viola 6-4 6-2 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-62 6-3.
In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Martin Etcheverry (7-62 6-3). During the match Alcaraz scored 85 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 72. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Alcaraz blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (39/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Martin Etcheverry twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 71% of his matches (72-29). 12-3 on clay in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a 49-17 record in the last 3 years on clay.
Alcaraz’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Manacor and M15 Antalya.
Carlos has a 22-3 win-loss record in 2020, 12-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Trieste Challenger
Alcaraz didn’t play in the Trieste Challenger in 2019.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 102 |
| Pts | 192-135 | 385-307 |
| Total Points | 327 | 692 |
| Winners | 77 | 162 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Musetti played 3 matches while Alcaraz competed in 5 matches. Alcaraz started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia lost 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t conceded a set so far. Musetti has played 5 set(s) less than Alcaraz (6 vs 11). Therefore, Musetti played 48 games less than Alcaraz. Lorenzo scored 77 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz blasted 162 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st in | 96/163 | 230/320 |
| %1st in | 59% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 77/96 | 162/230 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 40/67 | 52/90 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 58% |
Musetti bagged 13 aces (4.3 per match). Alcaraz bagged 7 aces (1.4 per match). Musetti won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 20 |
| Converted | 11/21 | 20/56 |
| % Converted | 52% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 29 |
| Saved | 7 | 21 |
| % Saved | 88% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Musetti broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 20 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Popyrin |
1/4 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 16 | 54 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 72-58 | 58-32 | 192-135 | |
| Total points | 107 | 130 | 90 | 327 | |
| Winners | 24 | 32 | 21 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/60 | 38/64 | 24/39 | 96/163 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 59% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 32/38 | 21/24 | 77/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 84% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 14/26 | 11/15 | 40/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 54% | 73% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/8 | 4/8 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 38% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| Q1 Dambrosi |
Q3 Kamke |
R1 Bourgue |
R2 Viola |
1/4 Martin Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 102 | |
| pts | 92-82 | 65-49 | 66-52 | 77-52 | 85-72 | 385-307 | |
| Total points | 174 | 114 | 118 | 129 | 157 | 692 | |
| Winners | 37 | 32 | 31 | 23 | 39 | 162 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 47% | 30% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 51/79 | 49/59 | 47/59 | 27/45 | 56/78 | 230/320 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 83% | 80% | 60% | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 32/49 | 31/47 | 23/27 | 39/56 | 162/230 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 65% | 66% | 85% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 5/10 | 5/12 | 12/18 | 14/22 | 52/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 5/10 | 5/11 | 4/15 | 2/7 | 20/56 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 50% | 45% | 27% | 29% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 29 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 6/8 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 7/8 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 88% | 113% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
Tennis Scores in Trieste Challenger
- Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez – Liam BroadyBroady (6-79 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Riccardo BonadioBonadio – Maximilian MartererMarterer (2-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (1-0) – See H2H details
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – See H2H details
