H2H, PREDICTION Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula | New York odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Mertens and Pegula will face off in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula

Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula will play each other in the quarter of the Western & Southern Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11 am on Grandstand. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.46
Jessica Pegula -> 2.64

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula

There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 22, Mertens got to the quarter after beating Rebecca Peterson 6-0 6-2, Kristina Mladenovic 6-1 6-75 6-3 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-2 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-2 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 66 points vs Kudermetova’s 52. Elise was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mertens struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elise Mertens conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 69% of her first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Kudermetova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elise has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Mertens has a negative win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 33% of her matches (923-459). 12-5 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has a 323-171 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Belgian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Prague.

Elise has a 18-7 win-loss record in 2020, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in New York

Elise lost in the quarter 3-6 6-2 6-3 to Bianca Vanessa Andreescu.

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 83, Pegula got to the quarter after beating Varvara Gracheva 7-5 7-68, Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 3-6 6-2, Jennifer Brady 7-65 6-4, Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-2 and Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 2-6 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The American defeated Sabalenka (6-2 2-6 6-3). During the match Pegula scored 101 points vs Sabalenka’s 92. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Pegula struck 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 62% of her first serves in, winning 64% (39/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Sabalenka 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (697-403). 14-5 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a 249-163 record in the last 10 years on hard.

Jessica’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Auckland.

The American has a 15-6 win-loss record in 2020, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in New York

Pegula capitulated in the 1st round 6-2 6-3 to Alize Cornet.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mertens Pegula
Match played 3 5
Tot Set 7 12
Tot Games 60 119
Pts 214-149 429-375
Total Points 363 804
Winners 84 159
%Winners 39% 37%

Mertens played 3 matches while Pegula competed in 5 matches. Pegula started her run from the qualifications while Mertens had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Elise Mertens conceded 1 set, while Jessica Pegula dropper 2 sets. Mertens has played 5 set(s) less than Pegula (7 vs 12). Therefore, Mertens played 59 games less than Pegula. Mertens scored 84 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula struck 159 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mertens Pegula
Aces 15 15
Avg per match 5 3
1st in 106/168 253/391
%1st in 63% 65%
1st pts 84/106 159/253
%1st pts 79% 63%
2nd pts 34/62 74/138
%2nd pts 55% 54%

Mertens recorded 15 aces (5 per match). Pegula struck 15 aces (3 per match). Mertens won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mertens Pegula
Won 15 26
Converted 15/24 26/52
% Converted 63% 50%
Conceded 9 45
Saved 8 27
% Saved 89% 60%
Times Broken 1 18

Elise broke her opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Belgian surrendered her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 26 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 18 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
R1
Peterson
R2
Mladenovic
R3
Kudermetova
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-1 6-75 6-3 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 14 29 17 60
pts 53-23 95-74 66-52 214-149
Total points 76 169 118 363
Winners 22 35 27 84
%Winners 42% 37% 41% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 4 15
Double Faults 2 3 2 7
1st in 24/36 42/74 40/58 106/168
% 1st in 67% 57% 69% 63%
1st pts 22/24 35/42 27/40 84/106
% 1st pts 92% 83% 68% 79%
2nd pts 7/12 16/32 11/18 34/62
% 2nd pts 58% 50% 61% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 6 4 15
Converted 5/6 6/11 4/7 15/24
Converted % 83% 55% 57% 63%
Conceded 2 2 5 9
Saved 2/2 1/2 5/5 8
Saved % 100% 50% 100% 83%
Times Broken 0 1 0 1
Pegula
Q1
Gracheva
Q3
Samsonova
R1
Brady
R2
Anisimova
R3
Sabalenka
Total
Score 7-5 7-68 6-3 3-6 6-2 7-65 6-4 7-5 6-2 6-2 2-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 3 12
Tot Games 25 26 23 20 25 119
pts 90-80 83-69 82-78 73-56 101-92 429-375
Total points 170 152 160 129 193 804
Winners 36 29 28 27 39 159
%Winners 40% 35% 34% 37% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 1 1 5 15
Double Faults 2 0 3 1 4 10
1st in 51/79 49/74 49/75 43/64 61/99 253/391
% 1st in 65% 66% 65% 67% 62% 65%
1st pts 36/51 29/49 28/49 27/43 39/61 159/253
% 1st pts 71% 59% 57% 63% 64% 63%
2nd pts 16/28 17/25 13/26 11/21 17/38 74/138
% 2nd pts 57% 68% 50% 52% 45% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 6 5 6 5 26
Converted 4/10 6/10 5/9 6/12 5/11 26/52
Converted % 40% 60% 56% 50% 45% 50%
Conceded 9 8 8 7 13 45
Saved 6/9 4/8 4/8 4/7 9/13 27
Saved % 67% 50% 50% 57% 69% 98%
Times Broken 3 4 4 3 4 18

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Mertens
Pegula
2025 2024 2023
0 - 0
0 - 0

Tennis Scores in New York

Upcoming matches in the draw