Stan Wawrinka and Aslan Karatsev will clash against each other in the final of the Prague Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11 am on Court1. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stan Wawrinka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stan Wawrinka is the pick to win this match.
Stan Wawrinka -> 1.43
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.74
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Prediction and head to head Stan Wawrinka vs. Aslan Karatsev
There is no head to head record between Stan Wawrinka and Aslan Karatsev since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Stan Wawrinka
Ranked no. 17, Stan reached the final after beating Roman Safiullin 6-1 4-6 6-1, Oscar Otte 3-6 7-5 6-1, Sumit Nagal 2-6 6-0 6-1 and Michael Vrbensky 5-7 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal against Vrbensky, Wawrinka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match Wawrinka scored 98 points vs Vrbensky’s 88. The Swiss was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Wawrinka struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Stan Wawrinka was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (38/49) of his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swiss broke Vrbensky 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stan has surrendered 4 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Wawrinka has a a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (486-199). 4-0 on clay in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Wawrinka has a 351-173 record in the last 10 years on clay.
Wawrinka’s best result of the current season was reaching the semi-finals in Doha and the Prague Challenger.
The Swiss has a 12-3 win-loss record in 2020, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Prague Challenger
The Swiss didn’t compete in the Prague Challenger in 2019.
Aslan Karatsev
Ranked no. 253, Karatsev got to the final after defeating Robin Haase 6-4 6-2, Jiri Vesely 6-3 6-4, Ernests Gulbis 6-3 6-3, Henri Laaksonen 7-63 6-4 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 7-5 7-67.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Herbert (7-5 7-67). During the match Karatsev scored 91 points vs Herbert’s 86. Aslan was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Karatsev scored 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 76% (39/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (18/41) on the 2nd serve. Karatsev broke Herbert 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Karatsev has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (585-415). 5-0 on clay in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karatsev has a 297-203 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Bangkok Challenger.
Karatsev has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2020, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Prague Challenger
Aslan didn’t compete in the Prague Challenger in 2019.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Wawrinka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 103 | 103 |
| Pts | 373-300 | 368-311 |
| Total Points | 673 | 679 |
| Winners | 133 | 129 |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% |
Wawrinka played 4 matches while Karatsev competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Stan Wawrinka lost 4 sets while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t lost a set so far. Wawrinka has played 2 sets more than Karatsev (12 vs 10). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (103). The Swiss scored 133 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 129 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Wawrinka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 179/326 | 171/332 |
| %1st in | 55% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 133/179 | 129/171 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 85/147 | 87/161 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 54% |
Wawrinka bagged 20 aces (5 per match). Karatsev struck 24 aces (4.8 per match). Wawrinka won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Wawrinka | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 17 |
| Converted | 18/39 | 17/45 |
| % Converted | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded | 24 | 20 |
| Saved | 17 | 13 |
| % Saved | 71% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Swiss broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Wawrinka lost his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 17 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Wawrinka | ||||||
| R2 Safiullin |
R3 Otte |
1/4 Nagal |
1/2 Vrbensky |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-1 | 3-6 7-5 6-1 | 2-6 6-0 6-1 | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 28 | 21 | 30 | 103 | |
| pts | 99-77 | 100-81 | 76-54 | 98-88 | 373-300 | |
| Total points | 176 | 181 | 130 | 186 | 673 | |
| Winners | 26 | 37 | 32 | 38 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 42/85 | 47/84 | 41/70 | 49/87 | 179/326 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 59% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 37/47 | 32/41 | 38/49 | 133/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 79% | 78% | 78% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/43 | 23/37 | 15/29 | 21/38 | 85/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 62% | 52% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 3/10 | 5/6 | 4/10 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 30% | 83% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 6/7 | 1/3 | 5/7 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 86% | 33% | 71% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 75 | |
| Karatsev | |||||||
| R1 Haase |
R2 Vesely |
R3 Gulbis |
1/4 Laaksonen |
1/2 Herbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 | 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 18 | 23 | 25 | 103 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 67-54 | 61-46 | 87-82 | 91-86 | 368-311 | |
| Total points | 105 | 121 | 107 | 169 | 177 | 679 | |
| Winners | 19 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 39 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 36% | 36% | 29% | 43% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 25/48 | 32/66 | 30/55 | 33/71 | 51/92 | 171/332 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 48% | 55% | 46% | 55% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 24/32 | 22/30 | 25/33 | 39/51 | 129/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 75% | 73% | 76% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 19/34 | 17/25 | 20/38 | 18/41 | 87/161 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 56% | 68% | 53% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 3/11 | 3/11 | 17/45 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 38% | 27% | 27% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 100% | 33% | 60% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 40 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWLLLL
LLLLLWLL Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – See H2H details
