Serena Williams and Shelby Rogers will clash against each other in the quarter of the The Top Seed Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12.30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Serena Williams who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Serena Williams is the pick to win this match.
Serena Williams -> 1.25
Shelby Rogers -> 4.00
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Prediction and head to head Serena Williams vs. Shelby Rogers
There is no head to head record between Serena Williams and Shelby Rogers since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Serena Williams
Ranked no. 9, Serena reached the quarter after defeating Bernarda Pera 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Venus Williams 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Williams, Serena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Williams scored 99 points vs Williams’s 94. Williams was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Williams recorded 14 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Serena Williams lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Williams put 67% of her first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Williams 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Serena has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Williams has a a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 85% of her matches (993-171). 9-1 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Williams has a 367-46 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Auckland where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-4.
Serena has a 10-2 win-loss record in 2020, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Lexington
The American didn’t play in Lexington in 2019.
Shelby Rogers
Ranked no. 116, the American got to the quarter after defeating Misaki Doi 6-4 4-6 6-2 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Shelby had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-2 7-5). During the match Rogers and Annie Fernandez scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 9 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match.
Talking about serving, Rogers was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Shelby Rogers conceded no breaks for the entire match to put NAN% of her first serves in, win NAN% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and NAN% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Rogers has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 55% of her matches (516-421). 9-5 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rogers has a 214-175 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Rogers has a 13-5 win-loss record in 2020, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Lexington
Shelby didn’t compete in Lexington in 2019.
Live score
Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Williams | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 48 |
| Pts | 201-187 | 92-87 |
| Total Points | 388 | 179 |
| Winners | 79 | 35 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Both Williams and Rogers played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Serena Williams conceded 2 sets, while Shelby Rogers dropper 1 set. Williams has played 1 sets more than Rogers (6 vs 5). Therefore, Williams played 7 games more than Rogers. Serena scored 79 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Shelby managed to score 35 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Williams | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 112/180 | 50/90 |
| %1st in | 62% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 79/112 | 35/50 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 29/68 | 18/40 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 45% |
Williams struck 21 aces (10.5 per match). Rogers recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Williams won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Williams | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 5 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Saved | 14 | 9 |
| % Saved | 70% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Serena surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Rogers broke her opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Rogers conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Williams | ||||
| R1 Pera |
R2 Williams |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 | 55 | |
| pts | 102-93 | 99-94 | 201-187 | |
| Total points | 195 | 193 | 388 | |
| Winners | 43 | 36 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 14 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 55/95 | 57/85 | 112/180 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 36/57 | 79/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 13/28 | 29/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 46% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/15 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 3/7 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 85% | 43% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 200 | |
| Rogers | ||||
| R1 Doi |
R2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| pts | 92-87 | – | 92-87 | |
| Total points | 179 | 0 | 179 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | NAN% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 0 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 50/90 | / | 50/90 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | NAN% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | / | 35/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | NAN% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/40 | / | 18/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | NAN% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 5/9 | / | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | NAN% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | ||
| Saved | 9/12 | 0/ | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 50 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLWL Upcoming matches
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Shelby RogersRogers (0-0) – See H2H details
- Catherine Cartan BellisCartan Bellis – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (0-0) – See H2H details
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – See H2H details
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – See H2H details
