Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 14th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7.30 pm (NB) on the Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.36
Dominic Thiem -> 3.20
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Dominic Thiem
This will be the 14th time that Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem play each other. The head to head is 9-4 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 in the final in at the French Open back in 2019.
Rafael Nadal
Currently world no. 1 Nadal got to the final after beating Hugo Dellien 6-2 6-3 6-0, Federico Delbonis 6-3 7-64 6-1, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-1 6-2 6-4 and Nick Kyrgios 6-3 3-6 7-66 7-64.
In the 4th round, Rafael defeated Kyrgios (6-3 3-6 7-66 7-64). During the match Nadal scored 147 points vs Kyrgios’s 124. Nadal was extremely aggressive to blast 66 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal blasted 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (66/78) of his 1st serve and 64% (27/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Kyrgios twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 81% of his matches (1096-256). 8-2 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 504-97 record in the last 10 years on hard.
Rafael’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Brisbane, Perth, Sydney.
Rafael has a 8-2 win-loss record in 2020, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Spaniard capitulated in the final 6-3 6-2 6-3 to Novak Djokovic.
Dominic Thiem
Ranked no. 5, Dominic got to the final after beating Adrian Mannarino 6-3 7-5 6-2, Alex Bolt 6-2 5-7 6-75 6-1 6-2, Taylor Harry Fritz 6-2 6-4 6-75 6-4 and Gael Monfils 6-2 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-2 6-4 6-4). During the match Thiem scored 101 points vs Monfils’s 73. The Austrian was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Thiem blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Dominic Thiem was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (39/46) of his 1st serve and 75% (18/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Thiem broke Monfils 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Thiem has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (632-372). 5-2 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Thiem has a 328-170 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.
Dominic has a 5-2 win-loss record in 2020, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Austrian reached the 2nd round last year in Australian-Open before retiring against Alexei Popyrin when he was 7-5 6-4 2-0 ret.
Live score
Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 121 | 146 |
| Pts | 438-317 | 512-403 |
| Total Points | 755 | 915 |
| Winners | 183 | 228 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Both Nadal and Thiem played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 1 set, while Dominic Thiem dropper 3 sets. Nadal has played 2 sets less than Thiem (13 vs 15). Therefore, Nadal played 25 games less than Thiem. Rafael scored 183 winners (42% on total points). On the other side, The Austrian blasted 228 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 222/342 | 285/437 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 183/222 | 228/285 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 78/120 | 87/152 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 57% |
Nadal blasted 34 aces (8.5 per match). Thiem blasted 33 aces (8.3 per match). Nadal won 82% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 21 |
| Converted | 18/57 | 21/57 |
| % Converted | 32% | 37% |
| Conceded | 8 | 21 |
| Saved | 4 | 17 |
| % Saved | 50% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Rafael broke his opponents 18 times with 32% conversion rate. Nadal conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 21 times with 37% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||||
| R1 Dellien |
R2 Delbonis |
R3 Carreno-Busta |
R4 Kyrgios |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 7-64 6-1 | 6-1 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 7-66 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 29 | 25 | 44 | 121 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 116-83 | 79-46 | 147-124 | 438-317 | |
| Total points | 160 | 199 | 125 | 271 | 755 | |
| Winners | 31 | 52 | 34 | 66 | 183 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 45% | 43% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 61/89 | 39/62 | 78/120 | 222/342 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 63% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 52/61 | 34/39 | 66/78 | 183/222 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 85% | 87% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 17/28 | 18/23 | 27/42 | 78/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 61% | 78% | 64% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | |
| Converted | 8/18 | 3/20 | 5/10 | 2/9 | 18/57 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 15% | 50% | 22% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | – | – | 33% | 23% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Thiem | ||||||
| R1 Mannarino |
R2 Bolt |
R3 Fritz |
R4 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 5-7 6-75 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 6-75 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 48 | 41 | 28 | 146 | |
| pts | 104-78 | 169-134 | 138-118 | 101-73 | 512-403 | |
| Total points | 182 | 303 | 256 | 174 | 915 | |
| Winners | 44 | 76 | 69 | 39 | 228 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 50% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 57/96 | 92/137 | 90/134 | 46/70 | 285/437 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 67% | 67% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 76/92 | 69/90 | 39/46 | 228/285 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 83% | 77% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/39 | 24/45 | 24/44 | 18/24 | 87/152 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 53% | 55% | 75% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/24 | 5/9 | 4/14 | 21/57 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 56% | 29% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 0/0 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 71% | 86% | – | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Roger FedererFederer – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (6-3 2-6 2-6 7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander Bublik/Mikhail KukushkinBublik/Mikhail Kukushkin – James Duckworth/Marc PolmansDuckworth/Marc Polmans (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches
- Rafael NadalNadal – Dominic ThiemThiem (9-4) – See H2H details
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – See H2H details
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-9) – See H2H details
