H2H. Rafael Nadal vs Nick Kyrgios | Australian Open prediction, odds, preview, pick

Melbourne. Nadal and Kyrgios will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open. See the H2H stats, odds, preview and predictions of their next match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Nick Kyrgios

Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7 pm (NB) on the Rod Laver Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.20
Nick Kyrgios -> 4.50

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Nick Kyrgios

This will be the 8th time that Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but Kyrgios leads 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 6-3 3-6 7-65 7-63 in the 2nd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2019.

Rafael Nadal

Currently world no. 1 Rafael reached the 2nd round after defeating Hugo Dellien 6-2 6-3 6-0, Federico Delbonis 6-3 7-64 6-1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-1 6-2 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-1 6-2 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 79 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 46. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Nadal blasted 9 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 87% (34/39) of his 1st serve and 78% (18/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Carreno-Busta 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nadal hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.

Nadal has a a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 81% of his matches (1086-256). 7-2 on hard in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 503-97 record in the last 10 years on hard.

Rafael’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Brisbane, Perth, Sydney.

Nadal has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2020, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Spaniard lost in the final 6-3 6-2 6-3 to Novak Djokovic.

Nick Kyrgios

Ranked no. 26, Nick reached the 2nd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 7-63 7-61, Gilles Simon 6-2 6-4 4-6 7-5 and Karen Khachanov 6-2 7-65 6-76 6-77 7-68.

In the 3rd round, Nick had a tough win against Khachanov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-2 7-65 6-76 6-77 7-68). During the match Kyrgios scored 191 points vs Khachanov’s 185. Kyrgios was extremely aggressive to blast 102 winners.

Talking about serving, Kyrgios buried his opponent with 33 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Nick Kyrgios was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (102/125) of his 1st serve and 52% (32/61) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kyrgios broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nick has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Kyrgios has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (750-341). 6-1 on hard in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kyrgios has a 204-104 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.

Kyrgios’s best result of the current year was getting to the semi-finals in Brisbane, Perth, Sydney.

Kyrgios has a 6-1 win-loss record in 2020, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Nick lost in the 1st round 6-4 7-65 6-4 to Milos Raonic.

Live score

Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Kyrgios
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 9 12
Tot Games 77 134
Pts 291-193 415-373
Total Points 484 788
Winners 117 220
%Winners 40% 53%

Both Nadal and Kyrgios played 3 matches. At the moment, Nick Kyrgios dropped 3 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 3 sets less than Kyrgios (9 vs 12). Therefore, Nadal played 57 games less than Kyrgios. Rafael scored 117 winners (40% on total points). On the other side, Kyrgios blasted 220 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Kyrgios
Aces 22 75
Avg per match 7.3 25
1st in 144/222 266/383
%1st in 65% 69%
1st pts 117/144 220/266
%1st pts 81% 83%
2nd pts 51/78 63/117
%2nd pts 65% 54%

Nadal blasted 22 aces (7.3 per match). Kyrgios blasted 75 aces (25 per match). Nadal won 81% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Kyrgios
Won 16 10
Converted 16/48 10/23
% Converted 33% 43%
Conceded 5 7
Saved 3 4
% Saved 60% 57%
Times Broken 2 3

Nadal broke his opponents 16 times with 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Kyrgios broke his opponents 10 times with 43% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Dellien
R2
Delbonis
R3
Carreno-Busta
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-0 6-3 7-64 6-1 6-1 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 23 29 25 77
pts 96-64 116-83 79-46 291-193
Total points 160 199 125 484
Winners 31 52 34 117
%Winners 32% 45% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 9 22
Double Faults 5 1 0 6
1st in 44/71 61/89 39/62 144/222
% 1st in 62% 69% 63% 65%
1st pts 31/44 52/61 34/39 117/144
% 1st pts 70% 85% 87% 81%
2nd pts 16/27 17/28 18/23 51/78
% 2nd pts 59% 61% 78% 65%
Breaks
Won 8 3 5 16
Converted 8/18 3/20 5/10 16/48
Converted % 44% 15% 50% 33%
Conceded 5 0 0 5
Saved 3 0 0 3
Saved % 40% 0% 0% 13%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2
Kyrgios
R1
Sonego
R2
Simon
R3
Khachanov
Total
Score 6-2 7-63 7-61 6-2 6-4 4-6 7-5 6-2 7-65 6-76 6-77 7-68
Tot Set 3 4 5 12
Tot Games 34 40 60 134
pts 103-83 121-105 191-185 415-373
Total points 186 226 376 788
Winners 59 59 102 220
%Winners 57% 49% 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 14 28 33 75
Double Faults 1 4 4 9
1st in 65/87 76/110 125/186 266/383
% 1st in 75% 69% 67% 69%
1st pts 59/65 59/76 102/125 220/266
% 1st pts 91% 78% 82% 83%
2nd pts 12/22 19/34 32/61 63/117
% 2nd pts 55% 56% 52% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 5 3 10
Converted 2/6 5/11 3/6 10/23
Converted % 33% 45% 50% 43%
Conceded 0 3 4 7
Saved 0 1 3 4
Saved % 0% 67% 25% 31%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LWW
Kyrgios
2024 2023 2022
2 - 1
0 - 0
2-1
Hard
0-0

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

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