Rafael Nadal and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2.30 pm (est) on the Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.04
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 13.00
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 5th time that Rafael Nadal and Pablo Carreno-Busta play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Nadal won 6-2 2-0 ret. in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2017.
Rafael Nadal
Currently world no. 1 Rafael got to the quarter after defeating Hugo Dellien 6-2 6-3 6-0 and Federico Delbonis 6-3 7-64 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-3 7-64 6-1). During the match Nadal scored 116 points vs Delbonis’s 83. Nadal was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (52/61) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rafael broke Delbonis 3 times after converting 15% of his break points (3/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 81% of his matches (1076-256). 6-2 on hard in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 502-97 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.
Rafael’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Brisbane, Perth, Sydney.
The Spaniard has a 6-2 win-loss record in 2020, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Spaniard lost in the final 6-3 6-2 6-3 to Novak Djokovic.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 30, Carreno-Busta reached the quarter after beating Jozef Kovalik 6-4 3-6 6-1 7-62 and Peter Gojowczyk 6-4 6-1 1-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Gojowczyk (6-4 6-1 1-6 6-4). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 115 points vs Gojowczyk’s 100. Carreno-Busta was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (44/61) of his 1st serve and 64% (21/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Pablo broke Gojowczyk 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (581-344). 3-1 on hard in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has a 302-198 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.
Pablo has a 3-1 win-loss record in 2020, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Carreno-Busta had to bow in the 4th round 6-78 4-6 7-64 6-4 7-68 to Kei Nishikori.
Live score
Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 73 |
| Pts | 212-147 | 234-195 |
| Total Points | 359 | 429 |
| Winners | 83 | 102 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Both Nadal and Carreno-Busta played 2 matches. At the moment, Pablo Carreno-Busta lost 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nadal has played 2 sets less than Carreno-Busta (6 vs 8). Therefore, Nadal played 21 games less than Carreno-Busta. The Spaniard scored 83 winners (39% on total points). On the other side, The Spaniard blasted 102 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 105/160 | 128/198 |
| %1st in | 66% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 83/105 | 102/128 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 33/55 | 41/70 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Nadal blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Carreno-Busta blasted 23 aces (11.5 per match). Nadal won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/38 | 9/25 |
| % Converted | 29% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 60% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Rafael broke his opponents 11 times with 29% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 9 times with 36% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Dellien |
R2 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 29 | 52 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 116-83 | 212-147 | |
| Total points | 160 | 199 | 359 | |
| Winners | 31 | 52 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 44/71 | 61/89 | 105/160 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 52/61 | 83/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 17/28 | 33/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 8/18 | 3/20 | 11/38 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 15% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 0% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Kovalik |
R2 Gojowczyk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 7-62 | 6-4 6-1 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 34 | 73 | |
| pts | 119-95 | 115-100 | 234-195 | |
| Total points | 214 | 215 | 429 | |
| Winners | 58 | 44 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 11 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 67/104 | 61/94 | 128/198 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 58/67 | 44/61 | 102/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 72% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 21/33 | 41/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 64% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/17 | 9/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWW
Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Tommy PaulPaul (6-1 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-2 6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicNovak – Yoshihito NishiokaYoshihito (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-0) – See H2H details
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – See H2H details
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Ernests GulbisGulbis (3-0) – See H2H details
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-2) – See H2H details
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – See H2H details
- John IsnerIsner – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (3-1) – See H2H details
- David GoffinGoffin – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – See H2H details
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-2) – See H2H details
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Sam QuerreyQuerrey (0-1) – See H2H details
- Guido PellaPella – Fabio FogniniFognini (2-2) – See H2H details
- John MillmanMillman – Roger FedererFederer (1-2) – See H2H details
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Milos RaonicRaonic (0-0) – See H2H details
- Marin CilicCilic – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (4-2) – See H2H details
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – See H2H details
