Madison Keys and Arantxa Rus will square off in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10 pm (est) on the Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.10
Arantxa Rus -> 7.00
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Arantxa Rus
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Arantxa Rus since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other at pro level.
Madison Keys
Ranked no. 11, Madison got to the 2nd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-3 6-1). During the match Keys scored 62 points vs Kasatkina’s 39. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys blasted 4 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 73% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (796-416). 5-1 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has a 231-129 record in the last 10 years on hard.
Keys’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Brisbane.
Keys has a 5-1 win-loss record in 2020, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Keys capitulated in the 4th round 6-2 1-6 6-1 to Elina Svitolina.
Arantxa Rus
Ranked no. 93, Arantxa reached the 2nd round after beating Magda Linette 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Linette, Rus recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).-89) than Linette. In fact, the world no. 11 won 89 points vs Linette’s. That means that Rus was more focused during the important points. Rus was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Rus wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Arantxa Rus lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rus put 78% of her first serves in, winning 59% (44/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Arantxa broke Linette 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Rus has a negative record in the last 10 years having won 46% of her matches (190-220). 2-1 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rus has a 97-115 record in the last 10 years on hard.
Rus has a 2-1 win-loss record in 2020, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Dutch had to surrender in the qualifications 6-3 6-4 to Richel Hogenkamp.
Live score
Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 |
| Pts | 62-39 | 89-92 |
| Total Points | 101 | 181 |
| Winners | 24 | 44 |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% |
Both Keys and Rus played 1 matche. At the moment, Arantxa Rus lost 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t lost a set so far. Keys has played 1 sets less than Rus (2 vs 3). Therefore, Keys played 10 games less than Rus. The American scored 24 winners (39% on total points). On the other side, Rus blasted 44 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0 |
| 1st in | 38/52 | 75/96 |
| %1st in | 73% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 44/75 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 9/21 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 43% |
Keys blasted 4 aces (4 per match). Rus didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Keys won 63% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rus won 59% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Madison broke her opponent 6 times with 60% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Arantxa broke her opponent 5 times with 42% conversion rate. Arantxa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 62-39 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/52 | 38/52 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rus | |||
| R1 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 89-92 | 89-92 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 75/96 | 75/96 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 44/75 | 44/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 9/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
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