Mert Alkaya and Hiroki Moriya will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Ningboo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on Grandstand. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mert Alkaya who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mert Alkaya is the pick to win this match.
Mert Alkaya -> 1.55
Hiroki Moriya -> 2.26

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Mert Alkaya vs. Hiroki Moriya

There is no head to head record between Mert Alkaya and Hiroki Moriya since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Mert Alkaya

Mert Alkaya

44 - 28win/loss

Hard

37-21

I Hard

4-4

Clay

2-2

Grass

1-1

Rank
327

High
295

WLLWWWWLLL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	44-28	37-21	2-2	4-4	1-1	0-0
2025	55-24	55-24	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
2024	35-21	20-7	15-14	0-0	0-0	0-0
2023	31-17	10-5	21-12	0-0	0-0	0-0
2022	9-6	0-0	9-6	0-0	0-0	0-0

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Ranked no. 327, Alkaya got to the 2^nd round after beating Rigele Te 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Alkaya had a good straight sets win against Te (7-6³ 6-4). During the match, Alkaya scored 80 points vs Te’s 68. Alkaya was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alkaya scored 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Mert Alkaya was very efficient on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mert broke Te twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Alkaya has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (210-149). 37-21 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alkaya has an aggregate 125-61 match record in the last years on hard.

The Turk’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.

Alkaya has an overall 44-28 win-loss record in 2026, 37-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Ningboo Challenger

Alkaya has never competed in this tournament before.

Ningboo Challenger

Alkaya's Record

Hiroki Moriya

Hiroki Moriya

35 - 30win/loss

Hard

31-28

I Hard

3-1

Grass

1-1

Rank
482

High
143

WWWLLWLWLL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	35-30	31-28	0-0	3-1	1-1	0-0
2025	24-24	24-24	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
2024	38-32	36-28	0-0	2-2	0-2	0-0
2023	31-28	31-27	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-0
2022	27-30	18-19	0-0	7-9	1-1	1-1

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Ranked no. 482, Hiroki got to the 2^nd round after defeating Taisei Ichikawa 6-4 6-4, Timofei Derepasko 7-6(2) 6-2 and James McCabe 6-1 2-6 7-6(1).

In the 1^st round, Hiroki defeated McCabe (6-1 2-6 7-6¹). During the match Moriya scored 93 points vs McCabe’s 83. Hiroki was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

About the serving games, Moriya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Moriya broke McCabe 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Hiroki’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Launceston.

Hiroki has a composed 35-30 win-loss record in 2026, 31-28 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Ningboo Challenger

Moriya's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Alkaya played 1 match while Moriya competed in 3 matches. Moriya started his run from the qualifications while Alkaya had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hiroki Moriya lost 1 set while Mert Alkaya hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alkaya has played 5 set(s) less than Moriya (2 vs 7). Therefore, Alkaya played 46 games less than Moriya. The Turk scored 33 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Hiroki made 101 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Alkaya struck 9 aces . Moriya blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Alkaya won 77% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Mert broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Alkaya dropped his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Moriya conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 0Chall
• 3Minor

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 3Chall
• 9Minor

Mert
Alkaya

0:0

Hiroki
Moriya

Rank

327

High

295

1h:33Played

Rank

482

High

143

6h:33Played

Win Loss

Alkaya

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Moriya

WWWWWWWWWW

2026 2025 2024

43 - 26

35 - 30

37-21

Hard

31-28

4-2

I Hard

3-1

1-2

Clay

0-0

1-1

Grass

1-1

Tennis Scores in Ningboo Challenger

• Liam BroadyBroady – Sergey FominFomin (5-7 7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
• Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – James McCabeMcCabe (6-1 2-6 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Semen PankinPankin (6-7¹ 7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Naoya HondaHonda – Filip PeliwoPeliwo (5-7 6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Jie CuiCui – Linang XiaoXiao (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Masamichi ImamuraImamura (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Tianhui ZhangZhang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Keegan SmithSmith (4-6 7-5 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Yi ZhouZhou – Elias YmerYmer (1-6 7-6⁸ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jake DelaneyDelaney – Alexandr BindaBinda (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Yaroslav DeminDemin – Carl Emil OverbeckEmil Overbeck (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Charles BroomBroom – Akira SantillanSantillan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Mert AlkayaAlkaya – Rigele TeTe (7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Kaichi UchidaUchida – Ognjen MilicMilic (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Mili PoljicakPoljicak (6-7² 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Masamichi ImamuraImamura (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jie CuiCui – Linang XiaoXiao (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Fajing SunSun – Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Yi ZhouZhou – Elias YmerYmer (1-6 7-6(8) 6-4) – See score progression
• Jake DelaneyDelaney – Alexandr BindaBinda (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Naoya HondaHonda – Filip PeliwoPeliwo (5-7 6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Liam BroadyBroady – Sergey FominFomin (5-7 7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
• Yaroslav DeminDemin – Carl Emil OverbeckEmil Overbeck (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Harold MayotMayot – Tianhui ZhangZhang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – James McCabeMcCabe (6-1 2-6 7-6(1)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kaichi UchidaUchida – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Charles BroomBroom – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (2-5) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Jie CuiCui (1-2) – H2H and prediction

Alkaya

More Stats

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Moriya