Yaroslav Demin and Qian Sun will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Ningboo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yaroslav Demin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yaroslav Demin is the pick to win this match.
Yaroslav Demin -> 1.23
Qian Sun -> 3.64
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Yaroslav Demin vs. Qian Sun
There is no head to head record between Yaroslav Demin and Qian Sun since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Yaroslav Demin
35 - 19win/loss
596
596
WLWWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-19 | 19-7 | 10-10 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 22-21 | 17-14 | 3-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 22-17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 596 (career-high), Demin got to the qualifications after beating Martin Borisiouk 7-6(6) 6-3.
In the qualifications, Demin had a good straight sets win against Borisiouk (7-66 6-3). During the match, Demin scored 79 points vs Borisiouk’s 75. Yaroslav was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Demin couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Yaroslav Demin lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Demin put 65% of his first serves in, winning 61% (38/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. Yaroslav broke Borisiouk 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Demin has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 53% of his matches (93-83). 19-7 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Demin has an aggregate63-47 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Yaroslav’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Manacor.
Demin has a compiled 35-19 win-loss record in 2026, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ningboo Challenger
Demin has never competed in this tournament before.
Qian Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22-21 | 14-15 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 31-25 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-11 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-18 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 890, the Chinese reached the qualifications after defeating Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Wei Kang Leong (6-4 7-5). During the match Sun scored 78 points vs Wei Kang Leong’s 72. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Sun scored 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Qian Sun lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 59% of his first serves in, winning 63% (30/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Sun broke Wei Kang Leong 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Qian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Luan and M15 Wuning.
The Chinese has a composed 21-21 win-loss record in 2026, 13-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Demin | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 |
| Pts | 79-75 | 78-72 |
| Total Points | 154 | 150 |
| Winners | 38 | 30 |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% |
Both Demin and Sun played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Demin and Sun have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (22). The Russian scored 38 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese blasted 30 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Demin | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 62/95 | 48/81 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 38/62 | 30/48 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 16/33 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 48% |
Demin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sun bagged 4 aces . Demin won 61% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Demin | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 77% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Demin broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Sun broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Qian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Demin | |||
| Q1 Borisiouk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-75 | 79-75 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/95 | 62/95 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 38/62 | 38/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sun | |||
| Q1 Wei Kang Leong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 78-72 | 78-72 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/81 | 48/81 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 30/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Ningboo Challenger
- Semen PankinPankin – Egor PleshivtsevPleshivtsev (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Timofei DerepaskoDerepasko (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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