H2H, prediction of Michele Ribecai vs Filippo Romano in Florence Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 25th October 2026

PREVIEW. Florence Challenger. Ribecai and Romano will play each other in the final of the Florence Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 25th of October

Prediction and head to head Michele Ribecai vs. Filippo Romano

Michele Ribecai and Filippo Romano will fight against each other in the final of the Florence Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michele Ribecai who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Michele Ribecai is the pick to win this match.
Michele Ribecai -> 1.57
Filippo Romano -> 2.22

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Michele Ribecai vs. Filippo Romano

This will be the 2nd time that Michele Ribecai and Filippo Romano face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Romano (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Romano won 7-5 6-4 in the qualifications in the Rome Challenger back in April 2026.

Michele Ribecai

Michele Ribecai
Michele Ribecai

36 - 31win/loss

Hard
14-10
I Hard
0-3
Clay
22-18
Rank
288
High
259
WWWWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 36-31 14-10 22-18 0-3 0-0 0-0
2025 60-29 20-9 38-18 2-1 0-0 0-1
2024 40-24 6-7 29-15 3-1 0-0 2-1
2023 25-14 14-6 11-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 288, the Italian reached the final after defeating Jacopo Vasami 4-6 6-0 4-2 ret., Max Houkes 3-6 6-3 6-0, Filip Misolic 6-2 6-1 and Oriol Roca Batalla 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Roca Batalla (7-5 6-4). During the match, Ribecai scored 74 points vs Roca Batalla’s 65. Michele was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ribecai scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Michele Ribecai lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Ribecai put 65% of his first serves in, winning 62% (26/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the 2nd serve. Ribecai broke Roca Batalla 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ribecai has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

ATP Florence Challenger - Michele Ribecai's projected path

Projected draw

Ribecai has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 62% of his matches (161-98). 22-18 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ribecai has an overall100-59 record in the last 4 years on clay.

Ribecai’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Barletta Challenger and the Florence Challenger.

Michele has an aggregate 36-31 win-loss record in 2026, 22-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florence Challenger

Ribecai has never competed in this tournament before.

Ribecai
Florence Challenger
Ribecai's Record

Filippo Romano

Filippo Romano
Filippo Romano

41 - 28win/loss

Clay
16-15
Grass
9-5
Carpet
2-2
Rank
301
High
298
WWWWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 41-28 0-0 16-15 14-6 9-5 2-2
2025 32-29 2-5 25-20 5-3 0-0 0-1
2024 25-32 1-1 9-19 7-10 0-0 8-2
2023 9-13 3-6 4-5 1-1 0-0 1-1
2022 0-3 0-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 301, Filippo got to the final after defeating Filip Cristian Jianu 6-3 6-2, Yanaki Milev 6-3 6-3, Matthew William Donald 6-3 6-2 and Sandro Kopp 6-3 5-7 6-3.

In the semifinal, Filippo defeated Kopp (6-3 5-7 6-3). During the match Romano scored 109 points vs Kopp’s 93. Romano was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Romano blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Filippo Romano lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Romano put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (39/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Romano broke Kopp 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

ATP Florence Challenger - Filippo Romano's projected path

Projected draw

Romano’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Cherbourg Challenger and the Florence Challenger.

Romano has a compiled 41-28 win-loss record in 2026, 16-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Romano
Florence Challenger
Romano's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Ribecai
F.Romano
7h:08
7h:08
Time on court​
6h:15
6h:15
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
4
4
Match played
4
4
83
83
Games Played​
82
82
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
298
298
Total points​
301
301
74.5
74.5
Avg point​
75.3
75.3
122
122
Winners
112
112
30.5
30.5
Avg Winners​
28
28
41%
41%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
16
16
0.8
0.8
Avg Aces
4
4
3
3
Double Faults
7
7
0.8
0.8
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
122/188
122/188
1st won total​
112/155
112/155
65%
65%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
48/77
48/77
2nd won total​
57/105
57/105
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
20/32
20/32
BP won
18/36
18/36
5/8
5/8
Avg BP won
4.5/9
4.5/9
!
63%
63%
Won
50%
50%
21
21
Conceded
20
20
5.3
5.3
Avg Conceded
5
5
7
7
Broken
7
7
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
14
14
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ribecai Romano
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 83 82
Pts 298-228 301-232
Total Points 526 533
Winners 122 112
%Winners 41% 37%

Both Ribecai and Romano played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Michele Ribecai conceded 2 sets, while Filippo Romano dropped 1 set. Ribecai has played 2 sets more than Romano (11 vs 9). Therefore, Ribecai played 1 game more than Romano. Michele scored 122 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Filippo made 112 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ribecai Romano
Aces 3 16
Avg per match 0.8 4
1st in 188/265 155/260
%1st in 71% 60%
1st pts 122/188 112/155
%1st pts 65% 72%
2nd pts 48/77 57/105
%2nd pts 62% 54%

Ribecai scored 3 aces (0.8 per match). Romano made 16 aces (4 per match). Ribecai won 65% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Romano won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ribecai Romano
Won 20 18
Converted 20/32 18/36
% Converted 63% 50%
Conceded 21 20
Saved 14 13
% Saved 67% 65%
Times Broken 7 7

Michele broke his opponents 20 times with a 63% conversion rate. Ribecai surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Romano conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Ribecai
R1
Vasami
R2
Houkes
1/4
Misolic
1/2
Roca Batalla
Total
Score 4-6 6-0 4-2 ret. 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 22 24 15 22 83
pts 79-58 86-70 59-35 74-65 298-228
Total points 137 156 94 139 526
Winners 34 35 27 26 122
%Winners 43% 41% 46% 35% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 0 1 3
Double Faults 0 0 2 1 3
1st in 50/64 55/82 41/54 42/65 188/265
% 1st in 78% 67% 76% 65% 71%
1st pts 34/50 35/55 27/41 26/42 122/188
% 1st pts 68% 64% 66% 62% 65%
2nd pts 6/14 20/27 6/13 16/23 48/77
% 2nd pts 43% 74% 46% 70% 62%
Breaks
Won 6 4 6 4 20
Converted 6/11 4/6 6/7 4/8 20/32
Converted % 55% 67% 86% 50% 63%
Conceded 8 3 7 3 21
Saved 5/8 2/3 6/7 1/3 14
Saved % 63% 67% 86% 33% 62%
Times Broken 3 1 1 2 7
Romano
R1
Cristian
R2
Milev
1/4
William
1/2
Kopp
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-3 5-7 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 17 18 17 30 82
pts 58-34 67-55 67-50 109-93 301-232
Total points 92 122 117 202 533
Winners 28 24 21 39 112
%Winners 48% 36% 31% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5 6 16
Double Faults 0 1 2 4 7
1st in 34/51 35/64 29/53 57/92 155/260
% 1st in 67% 55% 55% 62% 60%
1st pts 28/34 24/35 21/29 39/57 112/155
% 1st pts 82% 69% 72% 68% 72%
2nd pts 11/17 16/29 15/24 15/35 57/105
% 2nd pts 65% 55% 63% 43% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 4 4 7 18
Converted 3/4 4/9 4/10 7/13 18/36
Converted % 75% 44% 40% 54% 50%
Conceded 1 3 6 10 20
Saved 1/1 2/3 5/6 5/10 13
Saved % 100% 67% 83% 50% 75%
Times Broken 0 1 1 5 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ribecai
WWWWWWWWWW
Romano
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
36 - 31
41 - 28
14-10
Hard
0-0
0-3
I Hard
14-6
22-18
Clay
16-15
0-0
Grass
9-5
0-0
Carpet
2-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw