Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Almaty Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.43
Alexander Bublik -> 2.8
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik face off. The head to head is 7-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Bublik won 6-3 7-6(4) in the final in Halle back in 2025.
Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev – Halle 22-June-2025
Daniil Medvedev
47 - 18win/loss
5
1
WWLWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-18 | 34-10 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Medvedev got to the semifinal after beating Sho Shimabukuro 6-2 6-1 and Terence Atmane 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Atmane (6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 68 points vs Atmane’s 49. Daniil was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was very efficient on serve to win 91% (31/34) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Atmane twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
ATP Almaty - Daniil Medvedev's projected path
Medvedev has an extraordinary win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (476-196). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 107-48 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where he beat Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o and in Hangzhou where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 7-5 6-4.
Daniil has a composed 47-18 win-loss record in 2026, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2025. See his history.
Alexander Bublik
31 - 21win/loss
19
10
WLWWLLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-21 | 13-7 | 8-8 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Kazakhstani reached the semifinal after defeating Fabian Marozsan w/o and Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5).
In the quarter against Khachanov, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 7-65). During the match Bublik and Khachanov scored the same amount of points (105). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Alexander was quite aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik submerged his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alexander Bublik was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (61/72) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once.
ATP Almaty - Alexander Bublik's projected path
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 7-6(2) 6-3.
The Kazakhstani has a compiled 31-21 win-loss record in 2026, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Almaty
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 36 |
| Pts | 124-78 | 105-105 |
| Total Points | 202 | 210 |
| Winners | 56 | 61 |
| %Winners | 45% | 58% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Bublik competed in 1 match. At the moment, Alexander Bublik lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Bublik (4 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that Medvedev played 1 game less than Bublik. Daniil scored 56 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander struck 61 winners (58%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 21 |
| 1st in | 65/89 | 72/99 |
| %1st in | 73% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 56/65 | 61/72 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 16/27 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 59% |
Medvedev fired 12 aces (6 per match). Bublik recorded 21 aces . Medvedev won 86% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 0 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 0/5 |
| % Converted | 39% | 0% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Medvedev had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. On the other side, Bublik hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Shimabukuro |
1/4 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 35 | |
| pts | 56-29 | 68-49 | 124-78 | |
| Total points | 85 | 117 | 202 | |
| Winners | 25 | 31 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/39 | 34/50 | 65/89 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 68% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 31/34 | 56/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 91% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/8 | 10/16 | 16/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 63% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 2/8 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | ||||
| R2 Marozsan |
1/4 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | w/o | 4-6 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | – | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | – | 36 | 36 | |
| pts | – | 105-105 | 105-105 | |
| Total points | – | 210 | 210 | |
| Winners | – | 61 | 61 | |
| %Winners | – | 58% | 58% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | – | 21 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | – | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | – | 72/99 | 72/99 | |
| % 1st in | – | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | – | 61/72 | 61/72 | |
| % 1st pts | – | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | – | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | – | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | – | 0 | 0 | |
| Converted | – | 0/5 | 0/5 | |
| Converted % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Conceded | – | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | – | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | – | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Almaty
- Yuki Bhambri/Ryan SeggermanBhambri/Ryan Seggerman – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (3-6 7-65 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander BublikBublik (7-1) – H2H and prediction
