H2H, prediction of Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro in Almaty with odds, preview, pick | 22nd October 2026

PREVIEW. Almaty. Medvedev and Shimabukuro will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Almaty Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 22nd of October

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sho Shimabukuro

Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the 2nd round of the Almaty Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.106
Sho Shimabukuro -> 6.55

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sho Shimabukuro

There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

45 - 18win/loss

Hard
34-10
I Hard
0-1
Clay
5-4
Grass
6-3
Rank
5
High
1
WWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 49-18 34-10 5-4 4-1 6-3 0-0
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Medvedev will start his run in Almaty after he played his last match in Shanghai where he lost 6-3 6-4 to Jodar in the semifinal on the 17th of October.

The Russian has a composed 45-18 win-loss record in 2026, 0-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he overcame Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o and in Hangzhou where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 7-5 6-4.

Talking about his overall career, Daniil has an overall 622-260 record. He has a positive 139-67 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Almaty

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2025. See his history.

Medvedev
Almaty
Medvedev's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro
Sho Shimabukuro

31 - 28win/loss

Hard
19-20
I Hard
5-2
Clay
0-2
Grass
7-4
Rank
106
High
87
WLWLLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 32-29 20-20 0-2 5-3 7-4 0-0
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 109, Shimabukuro got to the 2nd round after beating Roman Safiullin 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Safiullin, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-4 6-4). During the match Shimabukuro scored 100 points vs Safiullin’s 99. Sho was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro blasted 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was very effective on serve to win 74% (50/68) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho broke Safiullin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Sho has a composed 31-28 win-loss record in 2026, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Almaty

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Shimabukuro
Almaty
Shimabukuro's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
WWWWWWWWWW
Shimabukuro
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
49 - 18
30 - 29
34-10
Hard
20-20
4-1
I Hard
3-3
5-4
Clay
0-2
6-3
Grass
7-4

Tennis Scores in Almaty

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw