Lilli Tagger and Tereza Valentova will face off in the 2nd round of the Japan Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tereza Valentova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tereza Valentova is the pick to win this match.
Tereza Valentova -> 1.72
Lilli Tagger -> 2.11
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Lilli Tagger vs. Tereza Valentova
This will be the 2nd time that Lilli Tagger and Tereza Valentova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Valentova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Valentova won 7-5 7-5 in the quarter in the Malo back in May 2026.
Lilli Tagger
31 - 20win/loss
57
45
WLLLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-20 | 25-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-9 | 5-4 | 29-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-11 | 1-2 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 6-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Tagger got to the 2nd round after defeating Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Lilli had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-3 6-3). During the match, Tagger scored 56 points vs Samsonova’s 39. The Austrian was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tagger scored 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Lilli Tagger was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (30/36) of her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tagger was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Samsonova 3 times.
Tagger has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of her matches (91-50). 25-11 on hard in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tagger has a compiled37-19 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W100 Fujairah where she overcame Harriet Dart in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Prague where she overcame Daria Snigur in the final 7-6(3) 6-2.
Lilli has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2026, 25-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Tereza Valentova
27 - 19win/loss
88
42
WLWWWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-19 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 49-12 | 18-4 | 11-3 | 18-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-5 | 17-1 | 12-2 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 88, Tereza got to the 2nd round after beating Shuai Zhang 6-2 1-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Valentova defeated Zhang (6-2 1-6 6-4). During the match Valentova scored 79 points vs Zhang’s 76. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Valentova managed to score 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Tereza Valentova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Valentova put 52% of her first serves in, winning 68% (28/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Tereza broke Zhang 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Tereza’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Malo and the Philadelphia.
The Czech has an overall 27-19 win-loss record in 2026, 20-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Osaka
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2025. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tagger | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 |
| Pts | 56-39 | 79-76 |
| Total Points | 95 | 155 |
| Winners | 30 | 28 |
| %Winners | 54% | 35% |
Both Tagger and Valentova played 1 match. At the moment, Tereza Valentova surrendered 1 set while Lilli Tagger hasn’t conceded a set so far. Tagger has played 1 set(s) less than Valentova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Tagger played 7 games less than Valentova. The Austrian scored 30 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Tereza fired 28 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tagger | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 36/50 | 41/79 |
| %1st in | 72% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 28/41 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 45% |
Tagger struck 7 aces . Valentova made 6 aces . Tagger won 83% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Valentova won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tagger | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 100% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Lilli broke her opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Austrian quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Czech broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Valentova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.
| Tagger | |||
| R1 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 56-39 | 56-39 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/50 | 36/50 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 30/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Valentova | |||
| R1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 79-76 | 79-76 | |
| Total points | 155 | 155 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/79 | 41/79 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 28/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Osaka
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Himeno SakatsumeSakatsume (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Emerson JonesJones (5-7 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Tereza ValentovaValentova – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Antonia RuzicRuzic – Paula BadosaBadosa (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mary StoianaStoiana – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Maya JointJoint (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Claire LiuLiu (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (6-4 6-7(7) 6-3) – See score progression
- Ya Hsin Lee/Fang-Hsien WuHsin Lee/Fang-Hsien Wu – Mai Hontama/Moyuka UchijimaHontama/Moyuka Uchijima (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Mai HontamaHontama (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Lilli TaggerTagger – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Janice TjenTjen (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sinja KrausKraus – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ingrid Neel/Giuliana OlmosNeel/Giuliana Olmos – I-Hsuan Cho/Yi Tsen ChoCho/Yi Tsen Cho (6-74 6-3 11-9) – See score progression
- Talia GibsonGibson – Harriet DartDart (7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- Lanlana TararudeeTararudee – Kaitlin QuevedoQuevedo (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Dominic Stephan StrickerStephan Stricker – Raphael BaltenspergerBaltensperger (6-1 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Emerson JonesJones (5-7 6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Tereza ValentovaValentova – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Himeno SakatsumeSakatsume (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Antonia RuzicRuzic – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mary StoianaStoiana – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Moyuka UchijimaUchijima – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (6-4 6-7(7) 6-3) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Claire LiuLiu (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kayla DayDay – Sofia KeninKenin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
