Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Jodar will square off in the semifinal of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Stadium Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.54
Rafael Jodar -> 2.46
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Rafael Jodar
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Jodar since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
45 - 17win/loss
5
1
WWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45-17 | 34-9 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Medvedev reached the semifinal after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 6-4 6-3, Dalibor Svrcina 6-2 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 7-5 and Tommy Paul 6-3 1-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Medvedev defeated Paul (6-3 1-6 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 94 points vs Paul’s 88. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 16 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (43/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Paul 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Shanghai - Daniil Medvedev's projected path
Medvedev has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (474-195). 34-9 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall 262-83 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where he defeated Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he beat Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o and in Hangzhou where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 7-5 6-4.
Daniil has a composed 45-17 win-loss record in 2026, 34-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2019. See his history.
Rafael Jodar
55 - 17win/loss
13
11
WWWWLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 55-17 | 30-11 | 20-4 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-13 | 23-9 | 3-1 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6 6-2 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 and Casper Ruud 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Ruud, Rafael recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Jodar scored 103 points vs Ruud’s 87. Jodar was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Jodar scored 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Rafael Jodar was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (40/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Rafael broke Ruud 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jodar has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Shanghai - Rafael Jodar's projected path
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marrakech where he beat Marco Trungelliti in the final 6-3 6-2.
Rafael has a composed 55-17 win-loss record in 2026, 30-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Jodar has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 120 |
| Pts | 318-269 | 401-360 |
| Total Points | 587 | 761 |
| Winners | 145 | 179 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Both Medvedev and Jodar played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 2 sets, while Rafael Jodar surrendered 4 sets. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Jodar (10 vs 12). Therefore, Medvedev played 27 games less than Jodar. Daniil scored 145 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Jodar fired 179 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 51 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 12.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 178/290 | 254/388 |
| %1st in | 61% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 145/178 | 179/254 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 49/112 | 81/134 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 60% |
Medvedev recorded 51 aces (12.8 per match). Jodar struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Medvedev won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/34 | 13/34 |
| % Converted | 41% | 38% |
| Conceded | 24 | 25 |
| Saved | 18 | 19 |
| % Saved | 75% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 14 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R2 Struff |
R3 Svrcina |
R4 Tsitsipas |
1/4 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 22 | 25 | 93 | |
| pts | 90-73 | 66-51 | 68-57 | 94-88 | 318-269 | |
| Total points | 163 | 117 | 125 | 182 | 587 | |
| Winners | 43 | 26 | 33 | 43 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% | 49% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 21 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 51 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 32/55 | 39/62 | 58/91 | 178/290 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 63% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 43/49 | 26/32 | 33/39 | 43/58 | 145/178 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 81% | 85% | 74% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 9/23 | 12/23 | 12/33 | 49/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 39% | 52% | 36% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 | 2/7 | 4/12 | 14/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 29% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 11/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | – | 79% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Jodar | ||||||
| R2 Agustin |
R3 Lehecka |
R4 Van De Zandschulp |
1/4 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 120 | |
| pts | 83-78 | 108-105 | 107-90 | 103-87 | 401-360 | |
| Total points | 161 | 213 | 197 | 190 | 761 | |
| Winners | 41 | 51 | 47 | 40 | 179 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 47% | 44% | 39% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 60/96 | 74/113 | 67/95 | 53/84 | 254/388 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 65% | 71% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 41/60 | 51/74 | 47/67 | 40/53 | 179/254 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 69% | 70% | 75% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/36 | 25/39 | 18/28 | 16/31 | 81/134 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 64% | 64% | 52% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/4 | 4/9 | 5/15 | 13/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 44% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 83% | 50% | 57% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Rafael JodarJodar – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Christian Harrison/Neal SkupskiHarrison/Neal Skupski (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur GeaGea (4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Lucas Miedler/Neil OberleitnerMiedler/Neil Oberleitner – Marc Polmans/Jan ZielinskiPolmans/Jan Zielinski (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/James TracyCabral/James Tracy – Robert Galloway/Andre GoranssonGalloway/Andre Goransson (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael JodarJodar – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1) – H2H and prediction
