Francesco Maestrelli and Maxim Mrva will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Olbia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.48
Maxim Mrva -> 2.43
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Maxim Mrva
There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Maxim Mrva since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Francesco Maestrelli
18 - 27win/loss
171
108
WLLLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18-27 | 14-13 | 2-10 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-29 | 9-7 | 28-18 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 171, Maestrelli reached the 2nd round after defeating Mili Poljicak 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, Maestrelli had a good straight sets win against Poljicak (6-2 6-3). During the match, Maestrelli scored 60 points vs Poljicak’s 36. Maestrelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Maestrelli fired 5 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Francesco Maestrelli was quite effective on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Maestrelli broke Poljicak 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Maestrelli has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 54% of his matches (213-184). 14-13 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Maestrelli has a compiled59-48 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Francesco’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Maestrelli has an aggregate 18-27 win-loss record in 2026, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Olbia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023 and 2025. See his history.
Maxim Mrva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-26 | 8-4 | 23-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 38-25 | 14-6 | 23-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-8 | 2-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, Mrva reached the 2nd round after beating Hynek Barton 6-2 2-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Barton, the Czech had a free pass after Barton retired on a 6-2 2-1 . scoreline.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Todi Challenger where he beat Nicolas Kicker in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Czech has an aggregate 33-26 win-loss record in 2026, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Olbia Challenger
Mrva has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 11 |
| Pts | 60-36 | 45-27 |
| Total Points | 96 | 72 |
| Winners | 33 | 17 |
| %Winners | 55% | 38% |
Both Maestrelli and Mrva played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Maestrelli has played 1 set(s) less than Mrva (2 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that Maestrelli played 6 games more than Mrva. Francesco scored 33 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, Maxim bagged 17 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 41/50 | 23/40 |
| %1st in | 82% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 17/23 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 8/17 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 47% |
Maestrelli blasted 5 aces . Mrva bagged 2 aces . Maestrelli won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Mrva won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 60% | 100% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Francesco extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Mrva broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Maxim conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | |||
| R1 Poljicak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 60-36 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/50 | 41/50 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mrva | |||
| R1 Barton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 11 | |
| pts | 45-27 | 45-27 | |
| Total points | 72 | 72 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/40 | 23/40 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 17/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 8/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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