Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko will fight against each other in the qualifications of the San Gregorio di Catania Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on Court 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Lagutin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Lagutin is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Lagutin -> 1.5
Oleksandr Ovcharenko -> 2.375
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Pavel Lagutin vs. Oleksandr Ovcharenko
There is no head to head record between Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Pavel Lagutin
50 - 17win/loss
410
406
WLWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 50-17 | 22-8 | 28-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 25-12 | 25-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 410, Lagutin reached the qualifications after beating Ignacio Parisca 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, Lagutin had a good straight sets win against Parisca (6-3 6-0). During the match, Lagutin scored 56 points vs Parisca’s 31. Lagutin was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lagutin was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Pavel Lagutin was very efficient on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lagutin broke Parisca 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Lagutin has a fantastic match record in the last 2 years having won 72% of his matches (75-29). 28-9 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Lagutin has an aggregate28-11 record in the last 2 years on clay.
Lagutin’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Denia,M15 Xativa and Nova.
Pavel has a compiled 50-17 win-loss record in 2026, 28-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Gregorio di Catania Challenger
Lagutin has never competed in this tournament before.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
28 - 17win/loss
616
296
WLWLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-17 | 10-6 | 17-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 43-29 | 3-4 | 38-23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 67-23 | 5-4 | 62-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-5 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-26 | 13-6 | 38-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 616, Ovcharenko reached the qualifications after beating Dimitris Sakellaridis 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Sakellaridis (6-1 6-3). During the match Ovcharenko scored 57 points vs Sakellaridis’s 33. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Ovcharenko struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Oleksandr Ovcharenko was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Oleksandr broke Sakellaridis 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
The Ukrainian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Slobozia.
The Ukrainian has an overall 28-17 win-loss record in 2026, 17-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lagutin | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 |
| Pts | 56-31 | 57-33 |
| Total Points | 87 | 90 |
| Winners | 23 | 22 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Lagutin and Ovcharenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Lagutin and Ovcharenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Lagutin played 1 game less than Ovcharenko. Lagutin scored 23 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ovcharenko bagged 22 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lagutin | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 31/40 | 29/45 |
| %1st in | 78% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 22/29 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 5/9 | 10/16 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 63% |
Lagutin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ovcharenko recorded 4 aces . Lagutin won 74% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ovcharenko won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lagutin | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 67% | 83% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Ukrainian broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Oleksandr conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Lagutin | |||
| Q1 Parisca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-31 | 56-31 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/40 | 31/40 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ovcharenko | |||
| Q1 Sakellaridis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 57-33 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 29/45 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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