Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino will play each other in the 3^rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Grandstand. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.37
Adrian Mannarino -> 3.06

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 7^th time that Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino clash against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 7-6(5) 6-3 6-3 in the 1^st round in at the Australian Open back in 2025.

Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino – Australian Open 14-January-2025

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

24 - 20win/loss

Hard

14-11

I Hard

1-1

Clay

7-6

Grass

2-2

Rank
25

High
8

LWWLWWLWWL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	27-22	15-12	7-6	3-2	2-2	0-0
2025	32-24	13-11	9-6	2-4	8-3	0-0
2024	37-22	14-12	8-4	14-3	1-3	0-0
2023	34-18	18-10	10-5	6-3	0-0	0-0
2022	36-25	17-11	9-7	6-5	4-2	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 27, Khachanov reached the 3^rd round after beating Arthur Fery 7-6(6) 6-7(5) 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, The Russian defeated Fery (7-6⁶ 6-7⁵ 7-6²).During the match, Khachanov scored less points (3) than Fery. In fact, the world no. 27 won 135 points vs Fery’s. That means that Khachanov was more focused during the important points. Karen was extremely aggressive to blast 64 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov recorded 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (64/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Fery 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

ATP Shanghai - Karen Khachanov's projected path

Khachanov has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (322-231). 14-11 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Khachanov has a compiled 141-105 match record in the last years on hard.

Karen has an overall 24-20 win-loss record in 2026, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2019 and 2023. See his history.

Shanghai

Khachanov's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

21 - 31win/loss

Hard

9-14

I Hard

6-4

Clay

0-8

Grass

6-5

Rank
79

High
17

WLWWLWWLWL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	24-33	9-15	0-8	9-5	6-5	0-0
2025	35-37	16-16	5-9	0-6	14-6	0-0
2024	17-33	9-17	0-5	7-6	1-5	0-0
2023	44-29	15-13	2-8	15-4	12-4	0-0
2022	31-32	18-14	1-6	8-7	4-5	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 83, Mannarino got to the 3^rd round after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 2-2 ret. and Flavio Cobolli 6-1 4-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The French player defeated Cobolli (6-1 4-6 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 96 points vs Cobolli’s 86. Adrian was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino made 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Cobolli 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

ATP Shanghai - Adrian Mannarino's projected path

Mannarino’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.

Adrian has an aggregate 21-31 win-loss record in 2026, 9-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

Shanghai

Mannarino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Khachanov played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov conceded 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino surrendered 1 set. Khachanov has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (3 vs 6). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (39). Khachanov scored 64 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian struck 62 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Khachanov bagged 11 aces . Mannarino blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Khachanov won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Russian broke his opponent 3 times with a 23% conversion rate. Karen surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Adrian broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 7Main
• 2Chall
• 5Minor

• 0Slam
• 5Main
• 14Chall
• 6Minor

Karen
Khachanov

6:1

Adrian
Mannarino

Rank

25

High

8

4Hard0

2I.hard1

Rank

79

High

17

Win Loss

Khachanov

WWWWWWWWWW

Mannarino

WWWWWWWWWW

2026 2025 2024

27 - 22

24 - 33

15-12

Hard

9-15

3-2

I Hard

9-5

7-6

Clay

0-8

2-2

Grass

6-5

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-6¹ 7-5) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur GeaGea – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Quentin HalysHalys – Alexander BlockxBlockx (4-6 7-6⁹ 6-4) – See score progression
• Yi ZhouZhou – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-6⁷ 3-6 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Arthur FeryFery (7-6⁶ 6-7⁵ 7-6²) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alex MolcanMolcan (w/o) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Quentin HalysHalys (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – (0-1) – H2H and prediction

Khachanov

More Stats

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Mannarino