H2H, prediction of Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa in Beijing with odds, preview, pick | 3rd October 2026

PREVIEW. Beijing. Ostapenko and Badosa will face off in the 2nd round of the China Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 3rd of October

Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa

Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.52
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.51

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa

This will be the 6th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2024.

Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa – Toronto 08-August-2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zPdr654kUsY

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

22 - 19win/loss

Hard
10-12
I Hard
0-0
Clay
7-5
Grass
5-2
Rank
32
High
5
LWLLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 22-19 10-12 7-5 0-0 5-2 0-0
2025 18-20 8-14 9-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2024 31-19 14-10 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 32, Ostapenko will start her run in Beijing after she played her last match in Seoul where she lost 6-4 6-1 to Preston in the 2nd round on the 24th of September.

Jelena has an overall 22-19 win-loss record in 2026, 10-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Talking about her overall career, The Latvian has an overall 431-278 record. She has a positive 155-137 record on hard.

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history.

Ostapenko
Beijing
Ostapenko's Record

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa
Paula Badosa

27 - 19win/loss

Hard
12-10
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-6
Grass
2-3
Rank
59
High
2
WLWWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 27-19 12-10 13-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2025 18-13 13-8 3-2 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 59, Paula got to the 2nd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4.

In the 1st round against Kasatkina, Paula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-67 6-4).During the match Badosa scored less points (1) than Kasatkina. In fact, the world no. 32 won 113 points vs Kasatkina’s. That means that Badosa was more focused during the important points. Paula was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Badosa struck 2 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve 8 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 67% of her first serves in, winning 56% (45/81) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/40) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Kasatkina 8 times after converting 80% of her break points (8/10).

Her best result of the season was winning the title the Bastad where she beat Simona Waltert in the final 7-5 7-5.

Paula has an aggregate 27-19 win-loss record in 2026, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.

Badosa
Beijing
Badosa's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ostapenko
WWWWWWWWWW
Badosa
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
22 - 19
27 - 19
10-12
Hard
12-10
7-5
Clay
13-6
5-2
Grass
2-3

Tennis Scores in Beijing

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw