Matteo Berrettini and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo will play each other in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.615
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo -> 2.29
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Berrettini
20 - 16win/loss
47
6
WLWLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-16 | 6-5 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 22-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, the Italian got to the 2nd round after beating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(1) 6-4.
In the 1st round against Davidovich Fokina, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-61 6-4).During the match, Berrettini scored less points (2) than Davidovich Fokina. In fact, the world no. 47 won 92 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s. That means that Berrettini was more focused during the important points. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini struck 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 70% of his first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Davidovich Fokina twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Berrettini has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (311-160). 6-5 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has a compiled 121-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Berrettini has an aggregate 20-16 win-loss record in 2026, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024 and 2025. See his history.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
46 - 22win/loss
56
56
WWWLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46-22 | 9-6 | 35-14 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 50-28 | 1-4 | 49-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 7-4 | 26-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-25 | 6-8 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 17-8 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56 (career-high), Daniel reached the 2nd round after defeating Taro Daniel 6-3 6-2, Jaime Faria 6-4 5-7 7-5 and Rafael Jodar 6-1 6-3.
In the 1st round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Jodar (6-1 6-3). During the match Daniel scored 54 points vs Jodar’s 29. Adolfo was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Daniel scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Daniel put 61% of his first serves in, winning 83% (19/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Jodar 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Itajai Challenger where he defeated Thiago Seyboth Wild in the final 7-5 4-6 6-2 and the Concepcion Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Tabilo in the final 6-2 1-6 6-1.
The Paraguayan has a composed 46-22 win-loss record in 2026, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Paraguayan has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 67 |
| Pts | 92-94 | 226-177 |
| Total Points | 186 | 403 |
| Winners | 46 | 100 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Berrettini played 1 match while Daniel competed in 3 matches. Daniel started his run from the qualifications while Berrettini had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set, while Adolfo Daniel Vallejo lost 1 set. Berrettini has played 4 set(s) less than Daniel (3 vs 7). Therefore, Berrettini played 37 games less than Daniel. The Italian scored 46 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel bagged 100 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 67/96 | 132/203 |
| %1st in | 70% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 100/132 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 38/71 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 54% |
Berrettini managed to score 16 aces . Daniel fired 11 aces (3.7 per match). Berrettini won 69% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Daniel won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 12 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 57% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Berrettini lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Paraguayan broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||
| R1 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 92-94 | 92-94 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 67/96 | 67/96 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 46/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Daniel | |||||
| Q1 Daniel |
Q3 Faria |
R1 Jodar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 7-5 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 34 | 16 | 67 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 108-105 | 54-29 | 226-177 | |
| Total points | 107 | 213 | 83 | 403 | |
| Winners | 27 | 54 | 19 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% | 35% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 76/113 | 23/38 | 132/203 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 67% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 54/76 | 19/23 | 100/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 71% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 19/37 | 7/15 | 38/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 51% | 47% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/3 | 6/12 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 100% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/9 | 0/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 78% | 0% | 178% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Jaime FariaFaria (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-3 7-6(5)) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (4-6 7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
