Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Michelsen will play each other in the 1st round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.177
Alex Michelsen -> 4.85
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex Michelsen
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Michelsen since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-4 | 21-3 | 5-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3,he will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match in the Laver Cup where he defeated 6-3 4-6 13-11 to Fritz in the round robin on the 26th of September.
Alcaraz has an aggregate 27-4 win-loss record in 2026, 21-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 and in Doha where he defeated Arthur Fils in the final 6-2 6-1.
Talking about his overall career, Alcaraz has an overall 385-89 record. He has a positive 146-32 record on hard.
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2025. See his history.
Alex Michelsen
35 - 20win/loss
34
30
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-20 | 25-10 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Alex will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match at the Us Open where he lost 5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6(6) to Tiafoe in the quarter on the 8th of September.
Michelsen has a composed 35-20 win-loss record in 2026, 25-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Bloomfield Hills Challenger where he defeated Jacob Fearnley in the final 7-6(4) 6-3.
In terms of his career, Alex has an overall 193-118 record. He has a positive 109-58 record on hard.
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Arthur FilsFils – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-62 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Zizou BergsBergs (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
