Michael Geerts and Joao Domingues will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Porto Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:30 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Geerts who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Michael Geerts is the pick to win this match.
Michael Geerts -> 1.4
Joao Domingues -> 2.68
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Michael Geerts vs. Joao Domingues
This will be the 2nd time that Michael Geerts and Joao Domingues clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Geerts (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Geerts won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Oeiras 3 Challenger back in 2022.
Michael Geerts
19 - 19win/loss
343
212
WLLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-19 | 15-13 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-34 | 27-15 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
Ranked no. 343, the Belgian reached the qualifications after beating Vladyslav Orlov 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the qualifications, Geerts had a good straight sets win against Orlov (7-63 6-2). During the match, Geerts scored 92 points vs Orlov’s 77. Geerts was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Geerts scored 9 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Michael Geerts lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Geerts put 46% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. Geerts broke Orlov 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Geerts has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (310-248). 15-13 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Geerts has a compiled 129-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Geerts’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Heraklion.
Michael has a compiled 19-19 win-loss record in 2026, 15-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
Joao Domingues
33 - 20win/loss
598
150
WLWLLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-20 | 26-15 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-21 | 14-9 | 14-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-24 | 8-7 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-27 | 1-4 | 24-21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 598, Domingues got to the qualifications after beating Vadym Ursu 7-6(4) 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Ursu (7-64 6-2). During the match Domingues scored 75 points vs Ursu’s 61. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Domingues scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Joao Domingues was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Portuguese broke Ursu 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The Portuguese’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Faro,M25 Loule and M25 Martos.
Domingues has an aggregate 33-20 win-loss record in 2026, 26-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Geerts | Domingues |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 |
| Pts | 92-77 | 75-61 |
| Total Points | 169 | 136 |
| Winners | 29 | 27 |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% |
Both Geerts and Domingues played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Geerts and Domingues have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (21). Geerts scored 29 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Domingues scored 27 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Geerts | Domingues |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 1 |
| 1st in | 39/84 | 37/63 |
| %1st in | 46% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 27/37 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 20/45 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 62% |
Geerts recorded 9 aces . Domingues struck 1 ace . Geerts won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Domingues won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Geerts | Domingues |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 42% | 44% |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 63% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Michael broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Geerts lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Domingues broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Geerts | |||
| Q1 Orlov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 92-77 | 92-77 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 39/84 | 39/84 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 29/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/45 | 20/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Domingues | |||
| Q1 Ursu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 75-61 | 75-61 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/63 | 37/63 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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