Luca Staeheli and Alex Rybakov will square off in the qualifications of the Columbus Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Rybakov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Rybakov is the pick to win this match.
Alex Rybakov -> 1.51
Luca Staeheli -> 2.35
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Luca Staeheli vs. Alex Rybakov
There is no head to head record between Luca Staeheli and Alex Rybakov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luca Staeheli
38 - 20win/loss
425
425
WWWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-21 | 20-10 | 21-10 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 31-13 | 19-6 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 451, Luca reached the qualifications after defeating Bruno Kuzuhara 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Luca had a good straight sets win against Kuzuhara (6-3 6-2). During the match, Staeheli scored 66 points vs Kuzuhara’s 50. The Swiss was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Staeheli managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Luca Staeheli was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luca broke Kuzuhara 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Staeheli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (140-87). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Staeheli has an aggregate12-8 match record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
The Swiss’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Muttenz.
The Swiss has an aggregate 38-20 win-loss record in 2026, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Columbus Challenger
Luca has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
16 - 22win/loss
696
261
LWWWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-24 | 10-12 | 6-5 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 511, Rybakov got to the qualifications after beating Matthew Forbes 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications, Rybakov had a good straight sets win against Forbes (7-5 6-3). During the match Rybakov scored 67 points vs Forbes’s 53. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakov managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Rybakov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 67% of his first serves in, winning 88% (37/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Forbes twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Vero Beach.
The American has an overall 16-22 win-loss record in 2026, 2-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Columbus Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Staeheli | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 |
| Pts | 66-50 | 67-53 |
| Total Points | 116 | 120 |
| Winners | 21 | 37 |
| %Winners | 32% | 55% |
Both Staeheli and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Staeheli and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Staeheli played 4 games less than Rybakov. Luca scored 21 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakov struck 37 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Staeheli | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 27/65 | 42/63 |
| %1st in | 42% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 37/42 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 10/21 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 48% |
Staeheli struck 4 aces . Rybakov bagged 5 aces . Staeheli won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Staeheli | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Staeheli broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Swiss lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Staeheli | |||
| Q1 Kuzuhara |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-50 | 66-50 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/65 | 27/65 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 42% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 21/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/38 | 20/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Forbes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 67-53 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/63 | 42/63 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 37/42 | 37/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alafia AyeniAyeni – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luca StaeheliStaeheli – Alex RybakovRybakov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tyler ZinkZink – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (1-1) – H2H and prediction
