Adrian Oetzbach and Imanol Lopez Morillo will square off in the qualifications of the Bari Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Oetzbach who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Oetzbach is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Oetzbach -> 1.84
Imanol Lopez Morillo -> 1.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Adrian Oetzbach vs. Imanol Lopez Morillo
This will be the 3rd time that Adrian Oetzbach and Imanol Lopez Morillo square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Lopez (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Lopez won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in M15 Oegstgeest back in May 2026.
Adrian Oetzbach
33 - 23win/loss
550
502
WLLWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-23 | 2-2 | 31-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 45-34 | 7-6 | 34-23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 7-8 | 25-23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 2023 | 57-40 | 11-13 | 38-20 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 16-9 | 19-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 550, the German got to the qualifications after beating Riccardo Trione 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Trione (6-1 6-4). During the match, Oetzbach scored 63 points vs Trione’s 39. Adrian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Oetzbach recorded 8 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Adrian Oetzbach was very effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Oetzbach broke Trione 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Oetzbach has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (297-218). 31-20 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Oetzbach has an overall 203-138 record in the last years on clay.
The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Uslar and M25 Meerbusch.
Adrian has an overall 33-23 win-loss record in 2026, 31-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bari Challenger
Adrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Imanol Lopez Morillo
30 - 29win/loss
667
470
WLLLLLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-29 | 10-9 | 20-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-24 | 1-3 | 35-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-25 | 5-8 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-23 | 14-8 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-22 | 9-5 | 26-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 667, the Spaniard reached the qualifications after defeating Duje Ajdukovic 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Imanol defeated Ajdukovic (6-3 4-6 6-4).During the match Lopez scored less points (1) than Ajdukovic. In fact, the world no. 550 won 83 points vs Ajdukovic’s. That means that Lopez was more focused during the important points. Lopez was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Lopez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Imanol Lopez Morillo lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Lopez put 80% of his first serves in, winning 61% (43/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Imanol broke Ajdukovic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Oegstgeest and M15 Lodz.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 30-29 win-loss record in 2026, 20-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Oetzbach | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 |
| Pts | 63-39 | 83-84 |
| Total Points | 102 | 167 |
| Winners | 26 | 43 |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% |
Both Oetzbach and Lopez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Imanol Lopez Morillo lost 1 set while Adrian Oetzbach hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Oetzbach has played 1 set(s) less than Lopez (2 vs 3). Therefore, Oetzbach played 12 games less than Lopez. Adrian scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Lopez managed to score 43 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Oetzbach | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1 |
| 1st in | 34/48 | 71/89 |
| %1st in | 71% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 43/71 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 10/18 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 56% |
Oetzbach recorded 8 aces . Lopez bagged 1 ace . Oetzbach won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Lopez won 61% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Oetzbach | Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 31% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Adrian broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Oetzbach lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Lopez broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Oetzbach | |||
| Q1 Trione |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 63-39 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 26/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Lopez | |||
| Q1 Ajdukovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 83-84 | 83-84 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 71/89 | 71/89 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 43/71 | 43/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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