H2H, prediction of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nikoloz Basilashvili in Chengdu with odds, preview, pick | 28th September 2026

PREVIEW. Chengdu. Davidovich Fokina and Basilashvili will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 28th of September

Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Nikoloz Basilashvili will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.53
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 2.48

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili

This will be the 2nd time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Nikoloz Basilashvili fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Basilashvili (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Basilashvili won 0-6 6-4 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Metz back in 2021.

Highlights Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Metz 23-September-2021

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

25 - 15win/loss

Hard
9-6
I Hard
2-1
Clay
5-5
Grass
9-3
Rank
26
High
14
WLWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 28-16 12-7 5-5 2-1 9-3 0-0
2025 44-26 22-14 9-6 8-4 5-2 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 29, Alejandro reached the semifinal after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-4 and Alexandre Muller 6-1 7-5.

In the quarter, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-1 7-5). During the match, Davidovich Fokina scored 67 points vs Muller’s 47. Davidovich Fokina was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Muller 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

ATP Chengdu - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's projected path

Projected draw

Davidovich Fokina has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (308-222). 9-6 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Davidovich Fokina has an overall 126-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Mallorca where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 7-6(4) 6-3.

The Spaniard has a composed 25-15 win-loss record in 2026, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Alejandro has never competed in this tournament before.

Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu
Davidovich Fokina's Record

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili

24 - 28win/loss

Hard
9-10
I Hard
1-3
Clay
12-12
Grass
2-3
Rank
124
High
16
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 26-30 11-12 12-12 1-3 2-3 0-0
2025 41-29 18-13 9-10 9-3 5-3 0-0
2024 51-32 11-8 27-15 13-9 0-0 0-0
2023 4-19 1-8 0-5 3-6 0-0 0-0
2022 16-31 3-11 5-9 4-7 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 145, Basilashvili reached the semifinal after beating Hanlei Lu 6-2 6-0, Federico Cina 6-3 6-2, Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(3) 6-4, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 7-5 and Jenson Brooksby 6-4 7-6(4).

In the quarter, The Georgean had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-4 7-64). During the match Basilashvili scored 76 points vs Brooksby’s 64. Basilashvili was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Basilashvili blasted 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Nikoloz Basilashvili was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Basilashvili broke Brooksby twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Georgean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

ATP Chengdu - Nikoloz Basilashvili's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

Nikoloz has an aggregate 24-28 win-loss record in 2026, 9-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.

Basilashvili
Chengdu
Basilashvili's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Davidovich Fokina
N.Basilashvili
2h:41
2h:41
Time on court​
!
6h:27
6h:27
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
2
2
Match played
!
5
5
39
39
Games Played​
99
99
4
4
Set played​​
10
10
128
128
Total points​
348
348
64
64
Avg point​
69.6
69.6
58
58
Winners
133
133
29
29
Avg Winners​
26.6
26.6
45%
45%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
38
38
6
6
Avg Aces
7.6
7.6
1
1
Double Faults
6
6
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
1.2
1.2
58/73
58/73
1st won total​
133/159
133/159
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
25/33
25/33
2nd won total​
67/102
67/102
!
76%
76%
2nd won %
!
66%
66%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
14/40
14/40
2.5/5.5
2.5/5.5
Avg BP won
2.8/8
2.8/8
45%
45%
Won
35%
35%
1
1
Conceded
2
2
0.5
0.5
Avg Conceded
0.4
0.4
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.4
0.4
1
1
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Davidovich Fokina Basilashvili
Match played 2 5
Tot Set 4 10
Tot Games 39 99
Pts 128-98 348-254
Total Points 226 602
Winners 58 133
%Winners 45% 38%

Davidovich Fokina played 2 matches while Basilashvili competed in 5 matches. Basilashvili started his run from the qualifications while Davidovich Fokina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Davidovich Fokina has played 6 set(s) less than Basilashvili (4 vs 10). Therefore, Davidovich Fokina played 60 games less than Basilashvili. Alejandro scored 58 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Basilashvili managed to score 133 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Davidovich Fokina Basilashvili
Aces 12 38
Avg per match 6 7.6
1st in 73/106 159/261
%1st in 69% 61%
1st pts 58/73 133/159
%1st pts 79% 84%
2nd pts 25/33 67/102
%2nd pts 76% 66%

Davidovich Fokina made 12 aces (6 per match). Basilashvili fired 38 aces (7.6 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Davidovich Fokina Basilashvili
Won 5 14
Converted 5/11 14/40
% Converted 45% 35%
Conceded 1 2
Saved 1 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 2

Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Basilashvili broke his opponents 14 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Georgean conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Davidovich Fokina
R2
Manuel Cerundolo
1/4
Muller
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 19 39
pts 61-51 67-47 128-98
Total points 112 114 226
Winners 30 28 58
%Winners 49% 42% 45%
SERVE
Aces 4 8 12
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 38/55 35/51 73/106
% 1st in 69% 69% 69%
1st pts 30/38 28/35 58/73
% 1st pts 79% 80% 79%
2nd pts 12/17 13/16 25/33
% 2nd pts 71% 81% 76%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/4 3/7 5/11
Converted % 50% 43% 45%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 1/1 0/0 1
Saved % 100% – 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Basilashvili
Q1
Lu
Q3
Cina
R1
Kecmanovic
R2
Van De Zandschulp
1/4
Brooksby
Total
Score 6-2 6-0 6-3 6-2 7-63 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 2 10
Tot Games 14 17 23 22 23 99
pts 61-32 56-34 84-69 71-55 76-64 348-254
Total points 93 90 153 126 140 602
Winners 18 18 33 35 29 133
%Winners 30% 32% 39% 49% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 13 8 9 38
Double Faults 1 0 2 2 1 6
1st in 21/33 22/43 40/61 37/57 39/67 159/261
% 1st in 64% 51% 66% 65% 58% 61%
1st pts 18/21 18/22 33/40 35/37 29/39 133/159
% 1st pts 86% 82% 83% 95% 74% 84%
2nd pts 10/12 14/21 15/21 10/20 18/28 67/102
% 2nd pts 83% 67% 71% 50% 64% 66%
Breaks
Won 5 4 1 2 2 14
Converted 5/11 4/5 1/12 2/5 2/7 14/40
Converted % 45% 80% 8% 40% 29% 35%
Conceded 0 1 0 0 1 2
Saved 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0
Saved % – 0% – – 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 1 0 0 1 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Davidovich Fokina
WWWWWWWWWW
Basilashvili
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
28 - 16
26 - 30
12-7
Hard
11-12
2-1
I Hard
1-3
5-5
Clay
12-12
9-3
Grass
2-3

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

  • Luke Johnson/Jan ZielinskiJohnson/Jan Zielinski – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Lloyd HarrisHarris – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-1) – H2H and prediction