H2H, prediction of Hubert Hurkacz vs Lloyd Harris in Chengdu with odds, preview, pick | 27th September 2026

PREVIEW. Chengdu. Hurkacz and Lloyd will fight against each other in the quarter of the Chengdu Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 27th of September

Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

Hubert Hurkacz and Lloyd Harris will square off in the quarter of the Chengdu Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.52
Lloyd Harris -> 2.51

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

This will be the 3rd time that Hubert Hurkacz and Lloyd Harris fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Hurkacz won 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2022.

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz

27 - 19win/loss

Hard
15-9
I Hard
0-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
4-3
Rank
46
High
6
WWLWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 27-19 15-9 8-5 0-2 4-3 0-0
2025 15-11 4-5 7-4 3-2 1-0 0-0
2024 40-19 17-10 14-4 4-3 5-2 0-0
2023 47-24 23-11 5-5 13-5 6-3 0-0
2022 41-21 18-9 9-4 9-6 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 46, Hurkacz reached the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-3 7-6(10) and Martin Damm 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Damm, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Hurkacz scored 86 points vs Damm’s 73. Hurkacz was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about the service games, Hurkacz struck 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was quite effective on serve to win 82% (46/56) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Hubert broke Damm 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hubert has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

ATP Chengdu - Hubert Hurkacz's projected path

Projected draw

Hurkacz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (365-219). 15-9 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hurkacz has a compiled 185-97 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where he beat Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3 and the Cancun Challenger where he overcame Sebastian Baez in the final 4-6 6-0 6-3.

The Pole has an overall 27-19 win-loss record in 2026, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Hurkacz has never competed in this tournament before.

Hurkacz
Chengdu
Hurkacz's Record

Lloyd Harris

Lloyd Harris
Lloyd Harris

35 - 13win/loss

Hard
31-7
I Hard
0-1
Clay
4-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
136
High
31
WWWWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 35-13 31-7 4-4 0-1 0-1 0-0
2025 21-19 13-11 3-4 0-0 5-4 0-0
2024 30-14 16-3 2-3 0-5 12-3 0-0
2023 28-23 21-16 2-2 0-1 5-4 0-0
2022 7-14 4-6 2-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 136, the South African reached the quarter after defeating Kenta Miyoshi 6-3 7-5, Alexis Galarneau 6-3 7-5, Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4 and Valentin Vacherot 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 2nd round, Lloyd had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (6-4 7-65). During the match Lloyd scored 70 points vs Vacherot’s 58. Harris was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Lloyd blasted 16 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lloyd Harris was extremely efficient on serve to win 89% (40/45) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lloyd broke Vacherot once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Harris started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

ATP Chengdu - Lloyd Harris's projected path

Projected draw

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Soma Bay Challenger where he defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-1 5-2 ret. and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Brownsburg Challenger where he defeated Andre Ilagan in the final 6-2 7-6(6).

Lloyd has an aggregate 35-13 win-loss record in 2026, 31-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

Lloyd
Chengdu
Lloyd's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Hurkacz
L.Harris
3h:13
3h:13
Time on court​
!
5h:40
5h:40
1h:52
1h:52
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
51
51
Games Played​
84
84
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
156
156
Total points​
274
274
78
78
Avg point​
68.5
68.5
81
81
Winners
143
143
40.5
40.5
Avg Winners​
35.8
35.8
52%
52%
Ratio winners
52%
52%
-- Serve --
28
28
Aces
62
62
!
14
14
Avg Aces
!
15.5
15.5
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
81/99
81/99
1st won total​
143/166
143/166
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
26/44
26/44
2nd won total​
34/56
34/56
59%
59%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
8/18
8/18
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
2/4.5
2/4.5
!
56%
56%
Won
44%
44%
6
6
Conceded
7
7
3
3
Avg Conceded
1.8
1.8
2
2
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
4
4
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Hurkacz Lloyd
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 51 84
Pts 156-132 274-211
Total Points 288 485
Winners 81 143
%Winners 52% 52%

Hurkacz played 2 matches while Lloyd competed in 4 matches. Lloyd started his run from the qualifications while Hurkacz had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz dropped 1 set while Lloyd Harris hasn’t conceded a set so far. Hurkacz has played 3 set(s) less than Lloyd (5 vs 8). Therefore, Hurkacz played 33 games less than Lloyd. Hubert scored 81 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Harris made 143 winners (52%).

Serve Performance

Serve Hurkacz Lloyd
Aces 28 62
Avg per match 14 15.5
1st in 99/143 166/222
%1st in 69% 75%
1st pts 81/99 143/166
%1st pts 82% 86%
2nd pts 26/44 34/56
%2nd pts 59% 61%

Hurkacz recorded 28 aces (14 per match). Lloyd bagged 62 aces (15.5 per match). Hurkacz won 82% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Lloyd won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Hurkacz Lloyd
Won 5 8
Converted 5/9 8/18
% Converted 56% 44%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 4 7
% Saved 67% 100%
Times Broken 2 0

Hurkacz broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Hurkacz conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Harris broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The South African was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.

Hurkacz
R1
Shevchenko
R2
Damm
Total
Score 6-3 7-610 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 29 51
pts 70-59 86-73 156-132
Total points 129 159 288
Winners 35 46 81
%Winners 50% 53% 52%
SERVE
Aces 15 13 28
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 43/62 56/81 99/143
% 1st in 69% 69% 69%
1st pts 35/43 46/56 81/99
% 1st pts 81% 82% 82%
2nd pts 13/19 13/25 26/44
% 2nd pts 68% 52% 59%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/4 3/5 5/9
Converted % 50% 60% 56%
Conceded 0 6 6
Saved 0/0 4/6 4
Saved % – 67% 34%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Lloyd
Q1
Miyoshi
Q3
Galarneau
R1
Kovacevic
R2
Vacherot
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-4 6-4 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 21 21 19 23 84
pts 67-54 76-52 61-47 70-58 274-211
Total points 121 128 108 128 485
Winners 32 37 34 40 143
%Winners 48% 49% 56% 57% 52%
SERVE
Aces 8 18 20 16 62
Double Faults 1 2 1 2 6
1st in 45/60 39/52 37/52 45/58 166/222
% 1st in 75% 75% 71% 78% 75%
1st pts 32/45 37/39 34/37 40/45 143/166
% 1st pts 71% 95% 92% 89% 86%
2nd pts 10/15 8/13 7/15 9/13 34/56
% 2nd pts 67% 62% 47% 69% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 2 2 1 8
Converted 3/3 2/7 2/6 1/2 8/18
Converted % 100% 29% 33% 50% 44%
Conceded 2 2 3 0 7
Saved 2/2 2/2 3/3 0/0 7
Saved % 100% 100% 100% – 150%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Hurkacz
WWWWWWWWWW
Harris
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
27 - 19
35 - 13
15-9
Hard
31-7
8-5
Clay
4-4
4-3
Grass
0-1

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

  • Robert Galloway/Andre GoranssonGalloway/Andre Goransson – Robert Cash/Alexander ErlerCash/Alexander Erler (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Marcelo Melo/Ryan SeggermanMelo/Ryan Seggerman (7-64 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw