H2H, prediction of Jesper De Jong vs Harold Mayot in St. Tropez Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 25th September 2026

PREVIEW. St. Tropez Challenger. De Jong and Mayot will square off in the quarter of the St. Tropez Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 25th of September

Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Harold Mayot

Jesper De Jong and Harold Mayot will play each other in the quarter of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.53
Harold Mayot -> 2.31

 

 

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Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Harold Mayot

This will be the 4th time that Jesper De Jong and Harold Mayot play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for De Jong (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, De Jong won 7-6(11) 6-7(4) 6-3 in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in 2025.

Jesper De Jong

Jesper De Jong
Jesper De Jong

28 - 25win/loss

Hard
5-9
I Hard
2-2
Clay
20-13
Grass
1-1
Rank
102
High
71
LLWWWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 28-27 5-11 20-13 2-2 1-1 0-0
2025 35-31 8-7 20-13 5-6 2-5 0-0
2024 48-25 12-5 33-15 2-4 1-1 0-0
2023 52-23 19-4 30-14 0-2 3-3 0-0
2022 24-28 12-7 10-13 2-5 0-3 0-0

Ranked no. 95, the Dutch reached the quarter after beating Remy Bertola 7-6(5) 7-6(5) and Andrea Guerrieri 3-6 7-6(8) 7-6(2).

In the 2nd round against Guerrieri, Jesper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-68 7-62).During the match, De Jong scored less points (9) than Guerrieri. In fact, the world no. 95 won 109 points vs Guerrieri’s. That means that De Jong was more focused during the important points. The Dutch was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Jong recorded 7 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Jesper De Jong lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, De Jong put 56% of his first serves in, winning 73% (51/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (22/54) on the 2nd serve. De Jong broke Guerrieri 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Jong has dropped 1 set in this event to win 50% of the points he played.

ATP St. Tropez Challenger - Jesper De Jong's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

De Jong has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (316-203). 5-9 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Jong has an overall 99-56 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Cattolica Challenger where he overcame Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 6-3 6-2.

Jesper has a composed 28-25 win-loss record in 2026, 5-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

De Jong
St. Tropez Challenger
De Jong's Record

Harold Mayot

Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot

21 - 15win/loss

Hard
15-6
I Hard
3-1
Clay
2-6
Grass
1-2
Rank
202
High
103
LLWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 25-18 17-7 2-6 5-3 1-2 0-0
2025 40-32 17-10 18-11 5-7 0-4 0-0
2024 45-37 14-13 11-9 15-11 5-4 0-0
2023 31-29 11-9 9-13 7-5 4-1 0-1
2022 40-33 13-8 19-13 7-11 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 237, the French player reached the quarter after defeating Justin Boulais 6-4 2-6 7-6(2) and Edas Butvilas 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Harold had a good straight sets win against Butvilas (6-4 6-3). During the match Mayot scored 63 points vs Butvilas’s 49. Harold was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Mayot scored 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Harold Mayot was very effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mayot broke Butvilas 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

ATP St. Tropez Challenger - Harold Mayot's projected path

Projected draw

Mayot’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Rennes Challenger.

The French player has a composed 21-15 win-loss record in 2026, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025. See his history.

Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger
Mayot's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.De Jong
H.Mayot
5h:05
5h:05
Time on court​
3h:27
3h:27
!
2h:57
2h:57
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
2
2
Match played
2
2
61
61
Games Played​
50
50
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
201
201
Total points​
161
161
100.5
100.5
Avg point​
80.5
80.5
92
92
Winners
75
75
46
46
Avg Winners​
37.5
37.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
8
8
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
4
4
10
10
Double Faults
1
1
5
5
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
92/118
92/118
1st won total​
75/112
75/112
!
78%
78%
1st won %
67%
67%
38/82
38/82
2nd won total​
18/32
18/32
46%
46%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/13
4/13
BP won
7/17
7/17
2/6.5
2/6.5
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
31%
31%
Won
41%
41%
16
16
Conceded
12
12
8
8
Avg Conceded
6
6
6
6
Broken
5
5
3
3
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
10
10
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Jong Mayot
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 61 50
Pts 201-198 161-148
Total Points 399 309
Winners 92 75
%Winners 46% 47%

Both De Jong and Mayot played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jesper De Jong surrendered 1 set, while Harold Mayot surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Jong and Mayot have played the same amount of sets 5. However, De Jong played 11 games more than Mayot. Jesper scored 92 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mayot struck 75 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Jong Mayot
Aces 13 8
Avg per match 6.5 4
1st in 118/200 112/144
%1st in 59% 78%
1st pts 92/118 75/112
%1st pts 78% 67%
2nd pts 38/82 18/32
%2nd pts 46% 56%

De Jong blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mayot bagged 8 aces (4 per match). De Jong won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Mayot won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Jong Mayot
Won 4 7
Converted 4/13 7/17
% Converted 31% 41%
Conceded 16 12
Saved 10 7
% Saved 63% 58%
Times Broken 6 5

Jesper broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. De Jong lost his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Mayot conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

De Jong
R1
Bertola
R2
Guerrieri
Total
Score 7-65 7-65 3-6 7-68 7-62
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 26 35 61
pts 92-80 109-118 201-198
Total points 172 227 399
Winners 41 51 92
%Winners 45% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 6 7 13
Double Faults 1 9 10
1st in 48/76 70/124 118/200
% 1st in 63% 56% 59%
1st pts 41/48 51/70 92/118
% 1st pts 85% 73% 78%
2nd pts 16/28 22/54 38/82
% 2nd pts 57% 41% 46%
Breaks
Won 1 3 4
Converted 1/6 3/7 4/13
Converted % 17% 43% 31%
Conceded 5 11 16
Saved 4/5 6/11 10
Saved % 80% 55% 68%
Times Broken 1 5 6
Mayot
R1
Boulais
R2
Butvilas
Total
Score 6-4 2-6 7-62 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 19 50
pts 98-99 63-49 161-148
Total points 197 112 309
Winners 48 27 75
%Winners 49% 43% 47%
SERVE
Aces 2 6 8
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 77/96 35/48 112/144
% 1st in 80% 73% 78%
1st pts 48/77 27/35 75/112
% 1st pts 62% 77% 67%
2nd pts 9/19 9/13 18/32
% 2nd pts 47% 69% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/9 3/8 7/17
Converted % 44% 38% 41%
Conceded 12 0 12
Saved 7/12 0/0 7
Saved % 58% – 29%
Times Broken 5 0 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
De Jong
WWWWWWWWWW
Mayot
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
26 - 26
25 - 18
5-11
Hard
17-7
0-1
I Hard
5-3
20-13
Clay
2-6
1-1
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger

  • Romain Arneodo/Benjamin KittayArneodo/Benjamin Kittay – Erik Grevelius/Adam HeinonenGrevelius/Adam Heinonen (6-1 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

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