H2H, prediction of Jesper De Jong vs Andrea Guerrieri in St. Tropez Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 24th September 2026

PREVIEW. St. Tropez Challenger. De Jong and Guerrieri will play each other in the 2nd round of the St. Tropez Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 24th of September

Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Andrea Guerrieri

Jesper De Jong and Andrea Guerrieri will face off in the 2nd round of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.46
Andrea Guerrieri -> 2.49

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Andrea Guerrieri

There is no head to head record between Jesper De Jong and Andrea Guerrieri since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jesper De Jong

Jesper De Jong
Jesper De Jong

27 - 25win/loss

Hard
4-9
I Hard
2-2
Clay
20-13
Grass
1-1
Rank
102
High
71
LLWWWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 28-27 5-11 20-13 2-2 1-1 0-0
2025 35-31 8-7 20-13 5-6 2-5 0-0
2024 48-25 12-5 33-15 2-4 1-1 0-0
2023 52-23 19-4 30-14 0-2 3-3 0-0
2022 24-28 12-7 10-13 2-5 0-3 0-0

Ranked no. 95, the Dutch reached the 2nd round after defeating Remy Bertola 7-6(5) 7-6(5).

In the 1st round, Jesper had a good straight sets win against Bertola (7-65 7-65). During the match, De Jong scored 92 points vs Bertola’s 80. De Jong was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Jong made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jesper De Jong was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jesper broke Bertola once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).

De Jong has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (315-203). 4-9 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Jong has a compiled 98-56 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cattolica Challenger where he overcame Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Dutch has an overall 27-25 win-loss record in 2026, 4-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

De Jong
St. Tropez Challenger
De Jong's Record

Andrea Guerrieri

Andrea Guerrieri
Andrea Guerrieri

51 - 20win/loss

Hard
9-3
I Hard
9-4
Clay
29-10
Grass
2-2
Carpet
2-1
Rank
166
High
164
LWWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 55-24 11-6 29-10 11-5 2-2 2-1
2025 30-15 2-1 15-10 10-3 0-0 3-1
2024 41-25 10-4 20-15 8-5 0-0 3-1
2023 41-24 21-12 9-5 9-6 0-0 2-1
2022 32-26 15-8 9-13 8-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 169, Guerrieri reached the 2nd round after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 6-7(4) 6-3.

In the 1st round, Andrea defeated Maestrelli (6-3 6-74 6-3). During the match Guerrieri scored 100 points vs Maestrelli’s 95. Guerrieri was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Guerrieri couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 8 double faults. Andrea Guerrieri lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Guerrieri put 62% of his first serves in, winning 77% (53/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Maestrelli 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Rome Challenger where he overcame Dalibor Svrcina in the final 6-4 2-6 6-1.

Andrea has an aggregate 51-20 win-loss record in 2026, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger
Guerrieri's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.De Jong
A.Guerrieri
2h:08
2h:08
Time on court​
2h:40
2h:40
!
2h:08
2h:08
Last match​
!
2h:40
2h:40
1
1
Match played
1
1
26
26
Games Played​
31
31
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
92
92
Total points​
100
100
92
92
Avg point​
100
100
41
41
Winners
53
53
41
41
Avg Winners​
53
53
45%
45%
Ratio winners
53%
53%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
0
0
6
6
Avg Aces
0
0
1
1
Double Faults
8
8
1
1
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
41/48
41/48
1st won total​
53/69
53/69
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
16/28
16/28
2nd won total​
20/43
20/43
57%
57%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
1/6
1/6
BP won
3/6
3/6
1/6
1/6
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
17%
17%
Won
50%
50%
5
5
Conceded
7
7
5
5
Avg Conceded
7
7
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Jong Guerrieri
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 26 31
Pts 92-80 100-95
Total Points 172 195
Winners 41 53
%Winners 45% 53%

Both De Jong and Guerrieri played 1 match. At the moment, Andrea Guerrieri surrendered 1 set while Jesper De Jong hasn’t lost a set so far. De Jong has played 1 set(s) less than Guerrieri (2 vs 3). Therefore, De Jong played 5 games less than Guerrieri. The Dutch scored 41 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 53 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Jong Guerrieri
Aces 6 0
Avg per match 6 0
1st in 48/76 69/112
%1st in 63% 62%
1st pts 41/48 53/69
%1st pts 85% 77%
2nd pts 16/28 20/43
%2nd pts 57% 47%

De Jong managed to score 6 aces . Guerrieri didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. De Jong won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Guerrieri won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Jong Guerrieri
Won 1 3
Converted 1/6 3/6
% Converted 17% 50%
Conceded 5 7
Saved 4 6
% Saved 80% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

Jesper broke his opponent once with a 17% conversion rate. The Dutch surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Guerrieri broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Andrea conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

De Jong
R1
Bertola
Total
Score 7-65 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 92-80 92-80
Total points 172 172
Winners 41 41
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 48/76 48/76
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 41/48 41/48
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 16/28 16/28
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/6 1/6
Converted % 17% 17%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Guerrieri
R1
Maestrelli
Total
Score 6-3 6-74 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 100-95 100-95
Total points 195 195
Winners 53 53
%Winners 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 69/112 69/112
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 53/69 53/69
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 20/43 20/43
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
De Jong
WWWWWWWWWW
Guerrieri
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
26 - 26
55 - 24
5-11
Hard
11-6
0-1
I Hard
11-5
20-13
Clay
29-10
1-1
Grass
2-2
0-0
Carpet
2-1

Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw