Nikita Mashtakov and Pavlos Tsitsipas will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Plovdiv 4 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on Court 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nikita Mashtakov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nikita Mashtakov is the pick to win this match.
Nikita Mashtakov -> 1.147
Pavlos Tsitsipas -> 4.65
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Nikita Mashtakov vs. Pavlos Tsitsipas
There is no head to head record between Nikita Mashtakov and Pavlos Tsitsipas since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Nikita Mashtakov
32 - 15win/loss
532
532
WLWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32-15 | 4-4 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-26 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-21 | 0-0 | 33-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 532 (career-high), Nikita reached the qualifications after defeating Alexander Weis 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Weis (6-1 6-3). During the match, Mashtakov scored 60 points vs Weis’s 47. Mashtakov was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mashtakov scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nikita Mashtakov lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mashtakov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 74% (23/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Nikita broke Weis 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Mashtakov has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (205-152). 28-11 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mashtakov has a compiled 172-124 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Nikita’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Samobor and M15 Mistelbach.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 32-15 win-loss record in 2026, 28-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Plovdiv 4 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2026. See his history.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
19 - 22win/loss
887
881
WLLLWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-22 | 10-11 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2025 | 11-33 | 4-25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2024 | 23-31 | 15-20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 887, Pavlos reached the qualifications after beating Tiago Pereira 6-7(3) 7-5 7-6(6).
In the qualifications against Pereira, The Greek recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-5 7-66). During the match Tsitsipas scored 131 points vs Pereira’s 129. Pavlos was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Tsitsipas fired 7 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Pavlos Tsitsipas lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 48% of his first serves in, winning 81% (51/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (32/68) on the 2nd serve. Pavlos broke Pereira 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Tsitsipas has an aggregate 19-22 win-loss record in 2026, 8-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 38 |
| Pts | 60-47 | 131-129 |
| Total Points | 107 | 260 |
| Winners | 23 | 51 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Mashtakov and Tsitsipas played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pavlos Tsitsipas dropped 1 set while Nikita Mashtakov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mashtakov has played 1 set(s) less than Tsitsipas (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mashtakov played 22 games less than Tsitsipas. The Ukrainian scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Greek managed to score 51 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7 |
| 1st in | 31/53 | 63/131 |
| %1st in | 58% | 48% |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 51/63 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 32/68 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 47% |
Mashtakov recorded 2 aces . Tsitsipas recorded 7 aces . Mashtakov won 74% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mashtakov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 71% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 80% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Nikita broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Mashtakov dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Greek broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Tsitsipas conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mashtakov | |||
| Q1 Weis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-47 | 60-47 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/53 | 31/53 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Tsitsipas | |||
| Q1 Pereira |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 131-129 | 131-129 | |
| Total points | 260 | 260 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 63/131 | 63/131 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 51/63 | 51/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/68 | 32/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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