Mathys Domenc and Daniel Jade will fight against each other in the qualifications of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Jade who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Jade is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Jade -> 1.4
Mathys Domenc -> 2.68
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Mathys Domenc vs. Daniel Jade
This will be the 3rd time that Mathys Domenc and Daniel Jade face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Jade (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Jade won 6-3 1-0 ret. in the semifinal in M15 Monastir back in August 2026.
Mathys Domenc
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11-9 | 4-2 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Mathys got to the qualifications after beating Michele Ribecai 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Ribecai (6-4 6-3). During the match, Domenc scored 61 points vs Ribecai’s 53. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Domenc struck 6 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Mathys Domenc was quite effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mathys was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ribecai twice.
Domenc has won exactly 50% of his matches (19-19) in the last 3 years. 4-1 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Domenc has a composed4-2 win-loss record in the last 3 years on hard.
Mathys has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2026, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Domenc has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Jade
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22-13 | 6-2 | 14-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 643 (career-high), Daniel got to the qualifications after beating Ryan Peniston 6-7(5) 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications against Peniston, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-2 6-2). During the match Jade scored 99 points vs Peniston’s 87. Daniel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Jade struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Jade lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Jade put 59% of his first serves in, winning 72% (41/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Peniston 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Jade’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Carnac.
Jade has an overall 21-12 win-loss record in 2026, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Domenc | Jade |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 |
| Pts | 61-53 | 99-87 |
| Total Points | 114 | 186 |
| Winners | 28 | 41 |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% |
Both Domenc and Jade played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daniel Jade lost 1 set while Mathys Domenc hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Domenc has played 1 set(s) less than Jade (2 vs 3). Therefore, Domenc played 10 games less than Jade. Domenc scored 28 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Jade recorded 41 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Domenc | Jade |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 57/96 |
| %1st in | 62% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 41/57 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 16/39 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 41% |
Domenc scored 6 aces . Jade blasted 4 aces . Domenc won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Jade won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Domenc | Jade |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 7 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 7/9 |
| % Converted | 100% | 78% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Domenc broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Domenc pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Daniel broke his opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Jade conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Domenc | |||
| Q1 Ribecai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 61-53 | 61-53 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 36/58 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Jade | |||
| Q1 Peniston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 99-87 | 99-87 | |
| Total points | 186 | 186 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/96 | 57/96 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/57 | 41/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/39 | 16/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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