Ilia Simakin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will play each other in the final of the Phan Thiet 4 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 10:00 am on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the pick to win this match.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez -> 1.78
Ilia Simakin -> 1.9
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Ilia Simakin vs. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
There is no head to head record between Ilia Simakin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Ilia Simakin
42 - 17win/loss
177
177
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42-17 | 37-8 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 43-22 | 43-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 62-22 | 55-21 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-19 | 28-18 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-17 | 24-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 177 (career-high), Simakin got to the final after beating Timofei Derepasko 6-4 6-3, Blake Ellis 6-4 6-2, Cruz Hewitt 6-3 6-1 and Hunter Heck 6-7(7) 7-5 6-2.
In the semifinal against Heck, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-77 7-5 6-2). During the match, Simakin scored 109 points vs Heck’s 88. Ilia was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Simakin fired 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Ilia Simakin was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (43/58) of his 1st serve and 65% (24/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Heck 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Phan Thiet 4 Challenger - Ilia Simakin's projected path
Simakin has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (203-99). 37-8 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Simakin has an overall187-80 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Phan Thiet 2 Challenger where he overcame Yi Zhou in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he beat Kasidit Samrej in the final 6-3 6-1 and the Phan Thiet 3 Challenger where he overcame Arthur Weber in the final 6-4 7-6(5).
The Russian has a compiled 42-17 win-loss record in 2026, 37-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phan Thiet 4 Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2026 and 2026. See his history.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
31 - 19win/loss
269
196
WWWWLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-19 | 23-14 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-34 | 8-12 | 18-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 22-12 | 12-14 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-15 | 6-6 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 269, Pacheco got to the final after beating Sergio Callejon Hernando 6-3 7-5, Arthur Weber 6-4 6-2, Philip Sekulic 6-4 6-4 and Moise Kouame 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Kouame, Pacheco recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Pacheco scored less points (1) than Kouame. In fact, the world no. 177 won 88 points vs Kouame’s. That means that Pacheco was more focused during the important points. The Mexican was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Pacheco bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pacheco put 58% of his first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Mexican broke Kouame 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodrigo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Phan Thiet 4 Challenger - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's projected path
Pacheco’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Xalapa and the Phan Thiet 4 Challenger.
Rodrigo has an overall 31-19 win-loss record in 2026, 23-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Simakin | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 86 |
| Pts | 226-168 | 301-263 |
| Total Points | 394 | 564 |
| Winners | 92 | 125 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Simakin and Pacheco played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ilia Simakin lost 1 set, while Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Simakin and Pacheco have played the same amount of sets 9. They also played the same amount of games (86). The Russian scored 92 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pacheco fired 125 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Simakin | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 6.8 | 8 |
| 1st in | 115/186 | 167/287 |
| %1st in | 62% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 92/115 | 125/167 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 45/71 | 61/120 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 51% |
Simakin scored 27 aces (6.8 per match). Pacheco recorded 32 aces (8 per match). Simakin won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Pacheco won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Simakin | Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/22 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded | 7 | 29 |
| Saved | 4 | 24 |
| % Saved | 57% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Ilia broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Ilia lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Pacheco broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pacheco conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Simakin | ||||||
| R1 Derepasko |
R2 Ellis |
1/4 Hewitt |
1/2 Heck |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-77 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 86 | |
| pts | 59-43 | – | 58-37 | 109-88 | 226-168 | |
| Total points | 102 | 0 | 95 | 197 | 394 | |
| Winners | 21 | 28 | 43 | 92 | ||
| %Winners | 36% | 0% | 48% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | ||
| 1st in | 24/47 | / | 33/44 | 58/95 | 115/186 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 0% | 75% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | / | 28/33 | 43/58 | 92/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 0% | 85% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | / | 6/11 | 24/37 | 45/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 0% | 55% | 65% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | ||
| Converted | 3/6 | / | 4/7 | 5/9 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 57% | 56% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/ | 1/1 | 3/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 100% | 60% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | ||
| Pacheco | ||||||
| R1 Callejon Hernando |
R2 Weber |
1/4 Sekulic |
1/2 Kouame |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 20 | 27 | 86 | |
| pts | 76-60 | 69-56 | 68-58 | 88-89 | 301-263 | |
| Total points | 136 | 125 | 126 | 177 | 564 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 34 | 35 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% | 50% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 36/67 | 43/67 | 50/86 | 167/287 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 64% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/36 | 34/43 | 35/50 | 125/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 78% | 79% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 14/31 | 13/24 | 18/36 | 61/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 45% | 54% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 3/10 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 57% | 67% | 30% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 5/6 | 7/7 | 6/9 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 83% | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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