Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Moura Monteiro will play each other in the semifinal of the Szczecin Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Trungelliti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marco Trungelliti is the pick to win this match.
Marco Trungelliti -> 1.84
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.84
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Marco Trungelliti vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 5th time that Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Moura Monteiro square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Trungelliti and Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Moura Monteiro won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Salzburg Challenger back in 2023.
Marco Trungelliti
31 - 25win/loss
99
76
WWWLLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-25 | 6-6 | 24-14 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 47-29 | 4-5 | 42-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-28 | 12-11 | 31-15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 7-8 | 30-19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-16 | 4-3 | 16-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, Trungelliti got to the semifinal after defeating Sean Cuenin 7-6(4) 6-2, Filip Pieczonka 6-7(3) 7-5 6-4 and Marco Cecchinato 7-6(6) 7-5.
In the quarter, Trungelliti had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (7-66 7-5). During the match, Trungelliti scored 81 points vs Cecchinato’s 77. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Trungelliti fired 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Marco Trungelliti was quite effective on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Cecchinato twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marco has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
ATP Szczecin Challenger - Marco Trungelliti's projected path
Trungelliti has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (323-231). 24-14 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Trungelliti has a composed 249-141 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Kigali 2 Challenger where he overcame Marco Cecchinato in the final 4-6 6-0 6-3.
Trungelliti has an overall 31-25 win-loss record in 2026, 24-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32-17 | 0-0 | 32-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 282, Moura Monteiro got to the semifinal after beating Stefano Travaglia 6-3 7-6(3), Vitaliy Sachko 6-7(3) 6-4 7-6(3) and Diego Dedura 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Dedura (6-4 6-2). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 68 points vs Dedura’s 47. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Moura Monteiro was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Thiago Moura Monteiro was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Thiago broke Dedura 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Szczecin Challenger - Thiago Moura Monteiro's projected path
Moura Monteiro has a compiled 32-17 win-loss record in 2026, 32-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Trungelliti | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 76 |
| Pts | 257-244 | 262-224 |
| Total Points | 501 | 486 |
| Winners | 135 | 121 |
| %Winners | 53% | 46% |
Both Trungelliti and Moura Monteiro played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marco Trungelliti surrendered 1 set, while Thiago Moura Monteiro conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Trungelliti and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Trungelliti played 5 games more than Moura Monteiro. Marco scored 135 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago struck 121 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Trungelliti | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 186/271 | 155/237 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 135/186 | 121/155 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 44/85 | 41/82 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 50% |
Trungelliti recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Moura Monteiro fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Trungelliti won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Trungelliti | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 9 |
| % Saved | 79% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Marco broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marco conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Thiago broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Trungelliti | |||||
| R1 Cuenin |
R2 Pieczonka |
1/4 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 6-73 7-5 6-4 | 7-66 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 35 | 25 | 81 | |
| pts | 74-67 | 102-100 | 81-77 | 257-244 | |
| Total points | 141 | 202 | 158 | 501 | |
| Winners | 37 | 53 | 45 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 52% | 56% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/77 | 75/109 | 62/85 | 186/271 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 73% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 53/75 | 45/62 | 135/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 19/34 | 14/23 | 44/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 56% | 61% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 71% | 86% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Moura Monteiro | |||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Sachko |
1/4 Dedura |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 6-73 6-4 7-63 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 36 | 18 | 76 | |
| pts | 80-66 | 114-111 | 68-47 | 262-224 | |
| Total points | 146 | 225 | 115 | 486 | |
| Winners | 37 | 60 | 24 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 53% | 35% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 49/74 | 72/112 | 34/51 | 155/237 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 60/72 | 24/34 | 121/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 71% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 17/40 | 10/17 | 41/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 43% | 59% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | 5/13 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 33% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Szczecin Challenger
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Luka MikrutMikrut – Tom GentzschGentzsch (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Diego DeduraDedura (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Inigo Cervantes/Denys MolchanovCervantes/Denys Molchanov – Vitaliy Sachko/Michael VrbenskySachko/Michael Vrbensky (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Bogdan PavelJecan/Bogdan Pavel – Piotr Matuszewski/Filip PieczonkaMatuszewski/Filip Pieczonka (6-1 3-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Luka MikrutMikrut – Tom GentzschGentzsch (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Diego DeduraDedura (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (7-6(6) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Zdenek KolarKolar (1-2) – H2H and prediction
