Fajing Sun and Alexandr Binda will face off in the 2nd round of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Fajing Sun who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Fajing Sun is the pick to win this match.
Fajing Sun -> 1.35
Alexandr Binda -> 2.88
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Fajing Sun vs. Alexandr Binda
There is no head to head record between Fajing Sun and Alexandr Binda since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Fajing Sun
26 - 24win/loss
324
197
WLLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-24 | 25-20 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-24 | 24-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-27 | 42-23 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 324, Sun reached the 2nd round after defeating Alexis Galarneau 7-5 3-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Fajing defeated Galarneau (7-5 3-6 7-5). During the match, Sun scored 100 points vs Galarneau’s 89. Sun was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sun managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Fajing Sun lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 84% of his first serves in, winning 77% (55/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Sun broke Galarneau 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Sun has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (260-195). 25-20 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sun has a composed 234-164 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Wuning 2 Challenger where he defeated Li Tu in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.
Sun has a composed 26-24 win-loss record in 2026, 25-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2016 and 2024. See his history.
Alexandr Binda
34 - 25win/loss
548
368
WWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-25 | 26-17 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-30 | 39-25 | 7-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-26 | 37-18 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-16 | 10-8 | 7-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-21 | 17-9 | 14-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 548, Alexandr reached the 2nd round after defeating Kaito Uesugi 7-6(7) 6-3, Kosuke Ogura 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Aoran Wang 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Alexandr had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-4). During the match Binda scored 63 points vs Wang’s 48. Binda was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Binda struck 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexandr Binda was extremely efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Binda broke Wang twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Binda’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Hurghada.
Alexandr has a compiled 34-25 win-loss record in 2026, 26-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sun | Binda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 71 |
| Pts | 100-89 | 243-207 |
| Total Points | 189 | 450 |
| Winners | 55 | 96 |
| %Winners | 55% | 40% |
Sun played 1 match while Binda competed in 3 matches. Binda started his run from the qualifications while Sun had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Fajing Sun lost 1 set, while Alexandr Binda dropped 1 set. Sun has played 4 set(s) less than Binda (3 vs 7). Therefore, Sun played 38 games less than Binda. Sun scored 55 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian blasted 96 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sun | Binda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 71/85 | 133/221 |
| %1st in | 84% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 55/71 | 96/133 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 52/88 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 59% |
Sun fired 6 aces . Binda fired 28 aces (9.3 per match). Sun won 77% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Binda won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sun | Binda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 57% | 41% |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 40% | 36% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Fajing broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sun lost his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Alexandr conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 36% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sun | |||
| R1 Galarneau |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 100-89 | 100-89 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 55 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 71/85 | 71/85 | |
| % 1st in | 84% | 84% | |
| 1st pts | 55/71 | 55/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Binda | |||||
| Q1 Uesugi |
Q3 Ogura |
R1 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 30 | 19 | 71 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 101-91 | 63-48 | 243-207 | |
| Total points | 147 | 192 | 111 | 450 | |
| Winners | 32 | 35 | 29 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 46% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 46/74 | 53/96 | 34/51 | 133/221 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 55% | 67% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 32/46 | 35/53 | 29/34 | 96/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 66% | 85% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 27/43 | 12/17 | 52/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 63% | 71% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/11 | 2/4 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 36% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 50% | – | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger
- Luca CastelnuovoCastelnuovo – Omar JasikaJasika (6-76 6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Jake DelaneyDelaney – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka (6-76 7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexandr BindaBinda – Aoran WangWang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Jesse DelaneyDelaney (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernard TomicTomic – Yuta KikuchiKikuchi (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Marat SharipovSharipov – Thomas FancuttFancutt (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (7-5 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Kaichi UchidaUchida (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Semen PankinPankin (5-7 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Colin SinclairSinclair – Linang XiaoXiao (6-4 1-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Akira SantillanSantillan – Yaojie ZengZeng (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
- Bernard TomicTomic – Yuta KikuchiKikuchi (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Jake DelaneyDelaney – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexandr BindaBinda – Aoran WangWang (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (7-5 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Luca CastelnuovoCastelnuovo – Omar JasikaJasika (6-7(6) 6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Marat SharipovSharipov – Thomas FancuttFancutt (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka (6-7(6) 7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Jesse DelaneyDelaney (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – Jake DelaneyDelaney (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Luca CastelnuovoCastelnuovo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Colin SinclairSinclair – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Akira SantillanSantillan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
