Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.21
Emma Navarro -> 4.5

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro

This will be the 5^th time that Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro face off. The head to head is 4-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 7-5 6-2 in the 3^rd round in Cincinnati back in August 2026.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro – Cincinnati 17-August-2026

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

49 - 12win/loss

Hard

33-7

I Hard

0-0

Clay

9-3

Grass

7-2

Rank
3

High
3

LWWWWWLWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	50-13	34-8	9-3	0-0	7-2	0-0
2025	53-23	35-12	11-5	3-4	4-2	0-0
2024	39-16	29-9	4-2	0-2	6-3	0-0
2023	59-18	45-12	8-4	0-0	6-2	0-0
2022	42-21	28-15	11-4	1-1	2-1	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Jessica reached the quarter after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-2, Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-1, Leylah Annie Fernandez 1-6 6-4 6-3 and Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-3 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 74 points vs Cirstea’s 57. Pegula was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula recorded 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 46% of her first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Cirstea 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pegula has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

WTA U.S. Open - Jessica Pegula's projected path

Projected draw

1st

E.Ruse (65)6-3 6-2

2nd

S.Kenin (100)6-3 6-1

3rd

L.Fernandez (31)1-6 6-4 6-3

4th

S.Cirstea (15)6-3 6-4

QF

E.Navarro (24)3-6 6-4 6-3

SF

F

Pegula has a terrific match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (385-168). 33-7 on hard in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a compiled 262-99 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she defeated Elina Svitolina in the final 6-2 6-4 and in Charleston where she overcame Yuliia Starodubtseva in the final 6-2 6-2.

Pegula has a compiled 49-12 win-loss record in 2026, 33-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open

Pegula's Record

Emma Navarro

Emma Navarro

25 - 19win/loss

Hard

10-12

I Hard

0-0

Clay

7-3

Grass

8-4

Rank
24

High
8

LWWWWLWLLW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	25-20	10-13	7-3	0-0	8-4	0-0
2025	32-25	17-14	6-6	2-1	7-4	0-0
2024	54-24	33-14	14-7	0-0	7-3	0-0
2023	64-24	17-9	37-11	3-1	7-3	0-0
2022	31-18	8-8	23-10	0-0	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 27, Navarro reached the quarter after defeating Lois Boisson 7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-3, Caty McNally 3-6 6-2 6-3, Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-5 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-4 6-2.

In the 4^th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kalinskaya (6-4 6-2). During the match Navarro scored 63 points vs Kalinskaya’s 49. Emma was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Navarro struck 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Emma Navarro was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (25/35) of her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Emma broke Kalinskaya 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Navarro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

WTA U.S. Open - Emma Navarro's projected path

Projected draw

1st

L.Boisson (227)7-6(6) 6-7(1) 6-3

2nd

C.McNally (66)3-6 6-2 6-3

3rd

K.Muchova (8)6-3 7-5

4th

A.Kalinskaya (22)6-4 6-2

QF

SF

F

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Victoria Mboko in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.

The American has an aggregate 25-19 win-loss record in 2026, 10-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open

Navarro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Pegula and Navarro played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula conceded 1 set, while Emma Navarro surrendered 2 sets. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Navarro (9 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 22 games less than Navarro. Jessica scored 96 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Navarro blasted 142 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Pegula blasted 19 aces (4.8 per match). Navarro blasted 24 aces (6 per match). Pegula won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Pegula broke her opponents 18 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jessica surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 11Main
• 0ITF
• 0Minor

• 0Slam
• 3Main
• 7ITF
• 0Minor

Jessica
Pegula

5:0

Emma
Navarro

Rank

3

High

3

4Hard0

1Grass0

Rank

24

High

8

Win Loss

Pegula

WWWWWWWWWW

Navarro

WWWWWWWWWW

2026 2025 2024

50 - 13

25 - 20

34-8

Hard

10-13

9-3

Clay

7-3

7-2

Grass

8-4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Madison KeysKeys (1-6 7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-6³ 7-6) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva (7-6⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova (6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Iva JovicJovic – Alexandra EalaEala (7-5 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-7⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 6-7³ 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma NavarroNavarro (4-0) – H2H and prediction

Pegula

More Stats

Click here

Navarro