Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:30 am on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.45
Linda Noskova -> 2.78
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in Indian Wells back in March 2026.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova – Indian Wells 13-March-2026
Aryna Sabalenka
44 - 8win/loss
2
1
LWLWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-10 | 34-5 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-2 6-4, Polina Iatcenko 6-1 6-1, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-3 6-4 and Taylor Townsend 6-4 6-3.
In the 4th round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Townsend (6-4 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 63 points vs Townsend’s 50. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 72% of her first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 31% (4/13) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Townsend 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
WTA U.S. Open - Aryna Sabalenka's projected path
Sabalenka has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 73% of her matches (451-170). 31-3 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled 279-94 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Indian Wells where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) and in Miami where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-2 4-6 6-3.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 44-8 win-loss record in 2026, 31-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2024 and 2025. See her history.
Linda Noskova
35 - 13win/loss
6
6
LWWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40-15 | 17-10 | 6-4 | 5-0 | 12-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 40-26 | 26-17 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-18 | 19-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-20 | 22-10 | 6-5 | 5-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-17 | 10-5 | 14-5 | 16-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Linda got to the quarter after defeating Katie Volynets 7-5 6-1, Lanlana Tararudee 6-4 6-2, Ann Li 6-2 6-7(6) 6-2 and Marta Kostyuk 7-5 5-7 6-4.
In the 4th round, Linda defeated Kostyuk (7-5 5-7 6-4). During the match Noskova scored 105 points vs Kostyuk’s 104. Linda was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Noskova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Linda Noskova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Noskova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 63% (44/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. Noskova broke Kostyuk 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
WTA U.S. Open - Linda Noskova's projected path
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.
The Czech has an overall 35-13 win-loss record in 2026, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 100 |
| Pts | 268-191 | 361-311 |
| Total Points | 459 | 672 |
| Winners | 95 | 143 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Both Sabalenka and Noskova played 4 matches. At the moment, Linda Noskova dropped 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Noskova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 30 games less than Noskova. Aryna scored 95 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Noskova scored 143 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 137/206 | 206/349 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 95/137 | 143/206 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 38/69 | 71/143 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 50% |
Sabalenka bagged 20 aces (5 per match). Noskova made 25 aces (6.3 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Noskova won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 21 |
| Converted | 20/37 | 21/43 |
| % Converted | 54% | 49% |
| Conceded | 14 | 27 |
| Saved | 7 | 17 |
| % Saved | 50% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 10 |
Aryna broke her opponents 20 times with a 54% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Linda broke her opponents 21 times with a 49% conversion rate. Noskova conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R1 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R2 Iatcenko |
R3 Rakhimova |
R4 Townsend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 70 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 56-26 | 76-55 | 63-50 | 268-191 | |
| Total points | 133 | 82 | 131 | 113 | 459 | |
| Winners | 22 | 21 | 31 | 21 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 38% | 41% | 33% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 28/37 | 41/63 | 33/46 | 137/206 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 76% | 65% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 21/28 | 31/41 | 21/33 | 95/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 76% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 5/9 | 16/22 | 4/13 | 38/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 56% | 73% | 31% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/8 | 2/7 | 7/14 | 20/37 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 75% | 29% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 0% | – | 33% | 26% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Noskova | ||||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Tararudee |
R3 Li |
R4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-76 6-2 | 7-5 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 29 | 34 | 100 | |
| pts | 79-62 | 67-54 | 110-91 | 105-104 | 361-311 | |
| Total points | 141 | 121 | 201 | 209 | 672 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 38 | 44 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 48% | 35% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 40/66 | 53/95 | 70/116 | 206/349 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 56% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 32/40 | 38/53 | 44/70 | 143/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 80% | 72% | 63% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 12/26 | 23/42 | 24/46 | 71/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 46% | 55% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 3/7 | 6/11 | 6/9 | 21/43 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 43% | 55% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 27 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 2/7 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 60% | 29% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Iva JovicJovic – Alexandra EalaEala (7-5 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Madison KeysKeys (1-6 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-63 7-6) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-76 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma NavarroNavarro (4-0) – H2H and prediction
