Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea will play each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 PM on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.33
Sorana Cirstea -> 3.28

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Sorana Cirstea

This will be the 5^th time that Jessica Pegula and Sorana Cirstea face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the 4^th round in Cincinnati back in August 2026.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Sorana Cirstea – Cincinnati 19-August-2026

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

48 - 12win/loss

Hard

32-7

I Hard

0-0

Clay

9-3

Grass

7-2

Rank
3

High
3

LWWWWWLWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	50-13	34-8	9-3	0-0	7-2	0-0
2025	53-23	35-12	11-5	3-4	4-2	0-0
2024	39-16	29-9	4-2	0-2	6-3	0-0
2023	59-18	45-12	8-4	0-0	6-2	0-0
2022	42-21	28-15	11-4	1-1	2-1	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American got to the 4^th round after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-2, Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-1 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 1-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Annie Fernandez, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 86 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 84. The American was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula struck 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 54% of her first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Annie Fernandez 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jessica has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.

WTA U.S. Open - Jessica Pegula's projected path

Projected draw

1st

E.Ruse (62)6-3 6-2

2nd

S.Kenin (107)6-3 6-1

3rd

L.Fernandez (26)1-6 6-4 6-3

4th

S.Cirstea (16)6-3 6-4

QF

E.Navarro (24)3-6 6-4 6-3

SF

F

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (384-168). 32-7 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an overall 261-99 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Dubai where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-2 6-4 and in Charleston where she defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva in the final 6-2 6-2.

The American has an aggregate 48-12 win-loss record in 2026, 32-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.

U.S. Open

Pegula's Record

Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea

39 - 13win/loss

Hard

17-7

I Hard

5-0

Clay

14-4

Grass

3-2

Rank
16

High
15

LWWWLWWLLW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	39-14	17-8	14-4	5-0	3-2	0-0
2025	30-20	26-14	3-2	1-2	0-2	0-0
2024	12-16	9-8	3-5	0-0	0-3	0-0
2023	31-22	21-14	7-4	0-1	3-3	0-0
2022	22-21	10-10	4-6	4-2	4-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 17 (career-high), Sorana reached the 4^th round after beating Julia Grabher 6-3 6-0, Diane Parry 6-2 7-5 and Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, The Romanian had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-3 6-3). During the match Cirstea scored 70 points vs Paolini’s 48. Sorana was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Cirstea made 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 72% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea broke Paolini 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sorana hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

WTA U.S. Open - Sorana Cirstea's projected path

Projected draw

1st

J.Grabher (99)6-3 6-0

2nd

D.Parry (31)6-2 7-5

3rd

J.Paolini (20)6-3 6-3

4th

QF

SF

F

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Napoca where she beat Emma Raducanu in the final 6-0 6-2.

Sorana has a composed 39-13 win-loss record in 2026, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.

U.S. Open

Cirstea's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Pegula and Cirstea played 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 1 set while Sorana Cirstea hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set more than Cirstea (7 vs 6). Therefore, Pegula played 6 games more than Cirstea. Jessica scored 77 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian fired 89 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Pegula managed to score 14 aces (4.7 per match). Cirstea recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Pegula won 79% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jessica dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. Sorana conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 11Main
• 0ITF
• 0Minor

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 7ITF
• 3Minor

Jessica
Pegula

4:1

Sorana
Cirstea

Rank

3

High

3

2Hard0

1Clay0

1I.hard1

Rank

16

High

15

Win Loss

Pegula

WWWWWWWWWW

Cirstea

WWWWWWWWWW

2026 2025 2024

50 - 13

39 - 14

34-8

Hard

17-8

0-0

I Hard

5-0

9-3

Clay

14-4

7-2

Grass

3-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Madison KeysKeys (1-6 7-6³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Ann LiLi (6-2 6-7⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor TownsendTownsend – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 6-7³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Madison KeysKeys (1-6 7-6(3) 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Taylor TownsendTownsend (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction

Pegula

More Stats

Click here

Cirstea