Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe will face off in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 PM on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.71
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.12

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 9^th time that Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 6-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Brisbane back in January 2026.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe – Brisbane 07-January-2026

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

34 - 15win/loss

Hard

23-7

I Hard

0-1

Clay

5-4

Grass

6-3

Rank
6

High
1

LWWWLLWLLW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	34-16	23-8	5-4	0-1	6-3	0-0
2025	41-23	20-12	6-4	10-4	5-3	0-0
2024	46-21	28-9	11-5	1-5	6-2	0-0
2023	66-18	38-8	10-3	11-4	7-3	0-0
2022	45-19	26-8	3-2	8-6	8-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 8, Daniil got to the 4^th round after beating Hugo Gaston 6-4 6-2 6-4, Sebastian Gorzny 6-1 6-3 7-5 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-4 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 88 points vs Rinderknech’s 70. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (35/41) of his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Rinderknech 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

ATP U.S. Open - Daniil Medvedev's projected path

Projected draw

1st

H.Gaston (101)6-4 6-2 6-4

2nd

S.Gorzny (484)6-1 6-3 7-5

3rd

A.Rinderknech (32)6-4 6-4 6-4

4th

QF

SF

F

Medvedev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (463-193). 23-7 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 251-81 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where he beat Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o.

Medvedev has a composed 34-15 win-loss record in 2026, 23-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.

U.S. Open

Medvedev's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

40 - 16win/loss

Hard

23-9

I Hard

1-1

Clay

7-4

Grass

9-2

Rank
8

High
8

LWWWWWLWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2026	42-17	25-10	7-4	1-1	9-2	0-0
2025	26-23	13-13	11-7	1-1	1-2	0-0
2024	33-27	21-13	5-6	4-5	3-3	0-0
2023	40-21	21-10	8-4	4-5	7-2	0-0
2022	35-25	19-11	8-6	5-5	3-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 12, the American reached the 4^th round after beating Martin Damm 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-4, Rei Sakamoto 6-3 7-6(2) 7-5 and Valentin Vacherot 6-4 6-2 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (6-4 6-2 6-4). During the match Tiafoe scored 100 points vs Vacherot’s 72. Francis was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Frances Tiafoe was quite effective on serve to win 85% (46/54) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tiafoe broke Vacherot 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

ATP U.S. Open - Frances Tiafoe's projected path

Projected draw

1st

M.Damm (104)6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-4

2nd

R.Sakamoto (135)6-3 7-6(2) 7-5

3rd

V.Vacherot (21)6-4 6-2 6-4

4th

D.Medvedev (6)7-6(1) 6-4 7-6(6)

QF

A.Michelsen (34)5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6(6)

SF

F

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Halle where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 6-4 6-4.

The American has an overall 40-16 win-loss record in 2026, 23-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022 and 2024. See his history.

U.S. Open

Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Medvedev and Tiafoe played 3 matches. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Tiafoe (9 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 24 games less than Tiafoe. The Russian scored 119 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 163 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Medvedev blasted 34 aces (11.3 per match). Tiafoe recorded 25 aces (8.3 per match). Medvedev won 85% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Daniil dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Tiafoe broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 1Slam
• 24Main
• 1Chall
• 4Minor

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 6Chall
• 1Minor

Daniil
Medvedev

6:3

Frances
Tiafoe

Rank

6

High

1

6Hard1

0Clay1

0I.hard1

Rank

8

High

8

Win Loss

Medvedev

WWWWWWWWWW

Tiafoe

WWWWWWWWWW

2026 2025 2024

34 - 16

42 - 17

23-8

Hard

25-10

0-1

I Hard

1-1

5-4

Clay

7-4

6-3

Grass

9-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-6³ 6-7⁵ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 3-6 6-7⁴ 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yibing WuWu (6-3 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-1 7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-6) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction

Medvedev

More Stats

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Tiafoe