Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 AM on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.053
Kamilla Rakhimova -> 9.4
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Kamilla Rakhimova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-0 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2025.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla Rakhimova – French Open 25-May-2025
Aryna Sabalenka
42 - 8win/loss
2
1
LWLWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-10 | 34-5 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka got to the 3rd round after defeating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-2 6-4 and Polina Iatcenko 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Iatcenko (6-1 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 56 points vs Iatcenko’s 26. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka recorded 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Aryna broke Iatcenko 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points she played.
WTA U.S. Open - Aryna Sabalenka's projected path
Sabalenka has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 73% of her matches (449-170). 29-3 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed 277-94 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) and in Miami where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-2 4-6 6-3.
Aryna has a composed 42-8 win-loss record in 2026, 29-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2024 and 2025. See her history.
Kamilla Rakhimova
21 - 24win/loss
76
60
LWWLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-27 | 19-17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-33 | 12-21 | 7-8 | 5-0 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-34 | 26-23 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 20-14 | 11-11 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 14-12 | 6-10 | 10-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, Rakhimova reached the 3rd round after defeating Barbora Krejcikova 7-6(4) 6-2 and Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Rakhimova had a good straight sets win against Selekhmeteva (6-3 6-0). During the match Rakhimova scored 53 points vs Selekhmeteva’s 26. Rakhimova was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Rakhimova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Kamilla Rakhimova was quite effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Uzbek broke Selekhmeteva 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rakhimova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
WTA U.S. Open - Kamilla Rakhimova's projected path
Kamilla has an aggregate 21-24 win-loss record in 2026, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 36 |
| Pts | 129-86 | 132-96 |
| Total Points | 215 | 228 |
| Winners | 43 | 48 |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% |
Both Sabalenka and Rakhimova played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Rakhimova have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 4 games less than Rakhimova. The Belarussian scored 43 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Kamilla made 48 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 63/97 | 65/121 |
| %1st in | 65% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 43/63 | 48/65 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 30/56 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 54% |
Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Rakhimova blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rakhimova won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Rakhimova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/16 | 8/10 |
| % Converted | 69% | 80% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 63% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Aryna broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The Uzbek broke her opponents 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. Rakhimova conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R1 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R2 Iatcenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 32 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 56-26 | 129-86 | |
| Total points | 133 | 82 | 215 | |
| Winners | 22 | 21 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 38% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 28/37 | 63/97 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 76% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 21/28 | 43/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 75% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 5/9 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/8 | 11/16 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 75% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 0% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Rakhimova | ||||
| R1 Krejcikova |
R2 Selekhmeteva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 36 | |
| pts | 79-70 | 53-26 | 132-96 | |
| Total points | 149 | 79 | 228 | |
| Winners | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/79 | 26/42 | 65/121 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 62% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 20/26 | 48/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/40 | 13/16 | 30/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 81% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | 8/10 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Harriet DartDart (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexandra EalaEala – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-7(5) 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-2 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna BondarBondar (5-7 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Lilli TaggerTagger (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Caty McNallyMcNally (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Maya JointJoint (6-2 6-76 6-4) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Taylah PrestonPreston (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Lanlana TararudeeTararudee (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Oksana SelekhmetevaSelekhmeteva (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sofia KeninKenin (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Diane ParryParry (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Xinyu WangWang (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Donna VekicVekic (5-7 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Polina IatcenkoIatcenko (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Clement GeensGeens – Sem VerbeekVerbeek (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-7(5) 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Lilli TaggerTagger (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexandra EalaEala – Oleksandra OliynykovaOliynykova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Harriet DartDart (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Anna BondarBondar (5-7 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-2 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva (6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Himeno SakatsumeSakatsume (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elise MertensMertens (6-3) – H2H and prediction
