Gustavo Heide and Thiago Moura Monteiro will face off in the quarter of the Porto Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:55 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.47
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.46
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 2nd time that Gustavo Heide and Thiago Moura Monteiro clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Moura Monteiro won 6-3 1-0 ret. in the 1st round in the Campinas Challenger back in 2023.
Gustavo Heide
30 - 19win/loss
123
123
LWWLWWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-21 | 1-5 | 30-14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-13 | 4-2 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-25 | 2-2 | 32-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 128 (career-high), Gustavo got to the quarter after defeating Goncalo Marques 6-4 6-3 and Tiago Pereira 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Gustavo had a good straight sets win against Pereira (7-5 7-5). During the match, Heide scored 92 points vs Pereira’s 80. Gustavo was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Heide was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Gustavo Heide was very efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Heide broke Pereira 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Porto Challenger - Gustavo Heide's projected path
Heide has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (199-112). 27-12 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Heide has a compiled174-87 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Campinas Challenger where he beat Gonzalo Bueno in the final 6-2 7-5 and the Poznan Challenger where he beat Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 6-2 6-2.
Heide has an overall 30-19 win-loss record in 2026, 27-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto Challenger
Heide has never competed in this tournament before.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-17 | 0-0 | 31-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 280, Moura Monteiro got to the quarter after beating Kimmer Coppejans 6-4 6-2 and Mika Petkovic 6-1 4-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Thiago defeated Petkovic (6-1 4-6 6-2). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 78 points vs Petkovic’s 61. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Moura Monteiro bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 55% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Petkovic 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Porto Challenger - Thiago Moura Monteiro's projected path
The Brazilian has a composed 28-15 win-loss record in 2026, 28-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Heide | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 43 |
| Pts | 155-125 | 133-99 |
| Total Points | 280 | 232 |
| Winners | 58 | 54 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Both Heide and Moura Monteiro played 2 matches. At the moment, Thiago Moura Monteiro dropped 1 set while Gustavo Heide hasn’t lost a set so far. Heide has played 1 set(s) less than Moura Monteiro (4 vs 5). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (43). Heide scored 58 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago made 54 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Heide | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 79/130 | 69/114 |
| %1st in | 61% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 58/79 | 54/69 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 35/51 | 23/45 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 51% |
Heide fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Moura Monteiro fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Heide won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Heide | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/17 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 35% | 65% |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 88% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Heide broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Heide conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Moura Monteiro broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Thiago conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Heide | ||||
| R1 Marques |
R2 Pereira |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 24 | 43 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 92-80 | 155-125 | |
| Total points | 108 | 172 | 280 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 45/77 | 79/130 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 32/45 | 58/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/19 | 20/32 | 35/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 63% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/12 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 25% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Moura Monteiro | ||||
| R1 Coppejans |
R2 Petkovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 43 | |
| pts | 55-38 | 78-61 | 133-99 | |
| Total points | 93 | 139 | 232 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 37/67 | 69/114 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 28/37 | 54/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 14/30 | 23/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 47% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 7/12 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 58% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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